15:45 · Newcastle

QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap

1m 4f 98yGoing TBCClass 63YO onlyALLWEATHERHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market Fav2
OR 51
15/8
Ten Sixty Six silks

Mr Chris Napthine

3yo Filly · 9-5

Ten Sovereigns - Zabeel Park (Medicean)

Mark Winn0/5D O'Meara60%
794652
5.0

Placed 3 times in maiden company last summer. Produced best effort since to go close on first start in classified company at Ripon (1¼m, soft) last time. Repeat effort may be enough to take this.

Class Advantage

21/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par21/0519/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par11/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 98y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 14%21/05Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%3/07Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 56%13/08Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 89%31/08
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.8%Ahead 3/4
3
Top Pick1
OR 52
9/4
Fairydale silks

Mr S A Heley & Partner

3yo Filly · 9-6

Waldgeist - Angevine (Sir Percy)

D Fentiman60%0/2T D Easterby60%
384273
5.0Class ↓4
Visor

Maiden who has been placed twice in similar company at Catterick this summer, latterly benefiting from the run of the race when beaten 1½ lengths in a change of headgear there last time. Claims on her all-weather bow, especially as there's not much pace on paper here.

Class Advantage

26/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par26/0511/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 98y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%26/05Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 57%6/07Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 14%11/08Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%26/08
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.8%Ahead 3/4
1
3
OR 55
3/1
Wyvill silks

Suzi Prichard-jones

3yo Colt · 9-9

Indian Haven - Dheyaa (Dream Ahead)

S DonohoeIan Williams
6673
4.0

Lightly-raced 3-y-o. Took a step forward when 2¼-length third on handicap bow at Kempton (11f) last time, albeit in a slowly-run race (form probably isn't the most reliable). Extra furlong could eke a bit more here.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/0630/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0716/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/089/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 98y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 17%13/06Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 29%30/07Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 33%16/08Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 82%9/09
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +33.5%Ahead 4/4
6
5
OR 47
10/1
Raise The Stakes silks

Mr A C Whillans

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Cotai Glory - Swift Campaign (Intikhab)

Greg Fairley70%0/2Ewan Whillans
092302
5.0

Maiden who has placed 3 times in classified company. Latest when 3¾-length second in a race run to suit at Wolverhampton. Weighted to go well on just his third start for present yard, for all there's no guarantee things will pan out as favourably back in a handicap.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par16/052/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par18/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par26/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 98y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 31%16/05Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 27%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 89%18/06Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 67%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 18%8/08Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 90%26/08
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.2%Ahead 3/4
8
4
OR 45
50/1
Project Kinsman silks

James and Susan Cookson

3yo Filly · 9-0

Maxfield - Project Whiskey (Tapizar)

S D Bowen60%P A Kirby60%
238535
4.0
Cheek pieces

Below form since placing on first 2 handicap starts over C&D in April/May. Something to find at weights on second start against her elders, even if benefitting from the return to this track.

Class Advantage

13/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/04 · mark par13/041/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par18/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par4/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 98y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 83%13/04Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 42%2/06Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%22/07Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%4/08
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.4%Ahead 3/4
2
6
OR 52
16/1
Gilleangirl silks

Nickbradleyracing45 & Alfa Site Servic

3yo Filly · 9-6

Maclean's Music - Frond (Yes It's True)

Jonny PeateI Furtado
58747
3.0
Tongue strap

Left poorly placed when beaten 7 lengths over 1¼m here last time, keeping on gradually under hands-and-heels ride. At least worth a go over this longer trip, though she'll need to improve for it.

Class Advantage

9/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/1028/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 98y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%9/10Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%28/02Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 14%7/04Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 57%6/08Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 45%2/09
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.9%Ahead 3/4
11
7
OR 45
33/1
West Sleekburn Lad silks

Fairweather, Hedley, Little & Tomkins

3yo Gelding · 9-0

Golden Horn - Cat Hunter (One Cool Cat)

Billy GarrittyP D Niven
083
5.0

Showed a bit more than previously when beaten 16 lengths on qualifying run at Thirsk (1m). Now handicapping off a very lowly mark and pedigree offers some hope he'll stay this significantly longer trip.

Class Advantage

18/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/105/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/061/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength71%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 98y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%18/10Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%5/06Pos 3 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 50%1/08
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.7%Ahead 1/3
10
11
OR 45
16/1
Go Teejay silks

980 Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-0

Tasleet - Florenza (Haafhd)

Rhys Elliott−5lbCraig Lidster
860968
2.0Class ↓3

Steps up further in trip having shown little ability in 8 starts to date.

Class Advantage

7/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/042/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par18/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par6/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 98y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 13%7/04Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%18/05Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 44%6/08Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 36%2/09
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.5%Ahead 3/4
5
8
OR 48
33/1
Manbearpig silks

Caspian Racing Limited

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Kodi Bear - Light Glass (Lope De Vega)

Rhys Clutterbuck60%R Menzies60%
554848
3.0
Blinkers

Hasn't troubled the judge in 8 starts to date. Back in blinkers following another slow start at Catterick last time and handicapper has at least offered some respite.

Class Advantage

13/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/1216/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par18/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par5/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 98y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 20%13/12Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%18/06Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%15/08Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%26/08
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.6%Ahead 2/4
9
9
OR 45
33/1
Queenies Pal silks

Mr Paul Howell And Mr David Farry

3yo Filly · 9-0

Palace Pier - Queen Of Bermuda (Exceed And Excel)

Aiden Brookes0/1P A Kirby80%
739507
2.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Maiden who didn't fire for Noel Wilson this year and fared little better on stable debut here (1m) latest. Leap of faith required over this markedly longer trip.

Class Advantage

11/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par11/1028/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/10 · mark par18/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par20/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 98y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 45%11/10Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 11%18/05Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 13 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%16/07Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%2/09
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.8%Ahead 3/4
7
10
OR 47
100/1
Galistra silks

Mr John Sugarman

3yo Filly · 9-1

Galiway - Maestria (Mastercraftsman)

Alistair RawlinsonA D Brown
550790
2.0Class ↓3

Has little worthwhile form in 7 starts to date.

Class Advantage

11/03 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/0316/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 98y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 20%11/03Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%14/07Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%8/08Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%2/09
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.3%Ahead 1/4