15:15 · Ayr

Zenith Ltd Building Partnerships That Last Handicap (Div 1)

1mGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 68
7/2
Glorious Kitty silks

Middleham Park & South Bank Racing

4yo Filly · 9-13

Cotai Glory - Destiny's Kitten (Naaqoos)

Joanna Mason60%0/5M & D Easterby
511264
7.0Class ↓4

Forward-going type who landed first leg of a double over C&D in May. Back on track when 3 lengths fourth of 10 in slightly better race at Beverley latest, and the forecast rain looks to be in her favour.

Class Advantage

26/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par26/0420/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 64%26/04Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%29/05Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 38%6/07Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%29/08
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.1%Ahead 2/4
5
2
OR 68
5/1
Royale Union silks

Tony Bloom & Ian McAleavy

3yo Filly · 9-9

Starman - Royal Majestic (Tobougg)

S H James70%K R Burke60%
7324
6.0

Consistent rather than progressive in 4 starts to date. Plugged on to finish 4¾ lengths fourth in a 7f Catterick maiden latest. Still respected switched to a handicap by excellent yard and looks worth a go over this trip (despite being speedily bred).

Class Advantage

5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a5/0729/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/073/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/0826/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 45%5/07Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%29/07Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 80%3/08Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 57%26/08
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.7%Ahead 0/4
2
4
OR 68
7/1
Invincible Ruby silks

Mr Duncan McCready

4yo Filly · 9-13

Invincible Army - Satwa Ruby (Verglas)

A Mullen70%0/2I Jardine
131293
6.0

Already notched a pair of 6f Carlisle wins (both good ground) this summer. Since chased home subsequent winner at York and threatened even more than her 1½-length third at Hamilton (6f, soft) last time. Will need to settle again if she's to get home over 1m, though (too free sole previous try).

Class Advantage

15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par15/0621/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par7/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%15/06Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%4/07Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 94%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 20%7/08Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%2/09
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.3%Ahead 3/4
8
Market Fav6
OR 59
10/3
Motawaared silks

Mr B Jordan

4yo Gelding · 9-4

Mohaather - Papaya (Teofilo)

P Mulrennan60%0/6J S Goldie60%
565422
6.0
Cheek pieces

Quirky sort who is firmly knocking on the door of a first success. Again responded well to cheekpieces when only foiled by a game rival at Musselburgh (9f). Should go close again from an unchanged mark.

Class Advantage

10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par10/0622/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par24/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par12/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 60%10/06Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 56%20/07Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 90%24/08Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 89%12/09
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.9%Ahead 3/4
3
3
OR 67
25/1
Empirestateofmind silks

Aire Valley Campers Ltd

8yo Gelding · 9-12

Starspangledbanner - Adore (Oasis Dream)

Jason Hart60%4/28J & S Quinn60%
099500
3.0
Blinkers

Hasn't offered much since ending a good run of form in selling company last autumn. Does benefit from a significant drop in grade this time and worth noting if the market expects a revival with Jason Hart back on board.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par16/054/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par19/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par17/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par6/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 17%16/05Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 20%19/06Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 18%25/07Pos 15 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 15 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 22%6/09
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.2%Ahead 4/4
4
5
OR 66
10/1
Flying Fletcher silks

Middleham Park Racing LXXII

5yo Gelding · 9-11

Muhaarar - Tropical Paradise (Verglas)

O J Orr1/8R A Fahey90%
437696
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Beaten 5¾ lengths when bidding for a fourth career/Newcastle success last time. Has had plenty of chances to capitalise on his falling mark, though is the type who could benefit from first-time cheekpieces here.

Class Advantage

2/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par2/0615/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par29/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par12/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 73%2/06Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 25%7/07Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 11%12/08Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%2/09
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.1%Ahead 2/4
10
7
OR 53
7/1
Thats My Boy Luke silks

Mr M J Macleod

5yo Gelding · 8-12

Ulysses - Pivotting (Pivotal)

D Allan60%2/12T D Easterby60%
045632
5.0
Blinkers

Won twice at Ripon over 1m last summer. Recently returned to form following a slow start to this season, making it back-to-back places when 1¾-length second at Musselburgh (1m) 6 days ago. Remains on a potentially handy mark for this step back up in grade.

Class Advantage

27/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par27/0521/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par29/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%27/05Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%13/07Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%24/08Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 86%12/09
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.0%Ahead 1/4
7
9
OR 59
20/1
Jewel Maker silks

Reality Partnerships I

11yo Gelding · 9-4

Invincible Spirit - Sapphire (Medicean)

D Fentiman0/3T D Easterby
776417
4.0

Veteran who ended a losing run in decisive fashion at Carlisle last month. Subsequently came up well short at Leicester following a 7 lb rise and races from an unchanged mark here.

Class Advantage

4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/0725/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 14%4/07Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 29%11/08Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%27/08Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 25%8/09
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.6%Ahead 2/4
11
11
OR 51
12/1
Tap Dancer silks

Ayr Racecourse Club

4yo Filly · 8-10

Territories - Hazy Dancer (Oasis Dream)

Rhys Elliott60%−5lbJ S Goldie
467376
3.0

Sole success came in Bath novice (heavy) for Marcus Tregoning in autumn 2024. Hasn't threatened to capitalise on slipping mark since joining very capable yard, though did shape reasonably well on sole previous try over this C&D.

Class Advantage

20/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par20/0519/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 57%20/05Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 45%6/07Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%27/07Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 55%8/08
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.0%Ahead 2/4
6
8
OR 62
14/1
Eve's Boy silks

Mr Allan McLuckie

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Expert Eye - Girls Talk (Shamardal)

Connor Beasley60%0/6M Dods70%
726687
4.0
1st Visor +2

Hit-and-miss performer who has fallen a long way in the weights. Back down in distance having failed to see things out following another 6 weeks off at Redcar (1¼m) last time. Well treated if first-time visor has the desired effect (too free in cheekpieces earlier in the season).

Class Advantage

5/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/02 · mark par5/0210/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par5/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/05 · mark par27/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%5/02Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 6 · SP 11/5 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 11/5 | Actual: 17%5/05Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 30%6/07Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 25%22/08
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -48.0%Ahead 0/4
9
10
OR 56
25/1
Kelpie Grey silks

Mr Paul Stewart

6yo Gelding · 9-1

Havana Grey - Malelane (Prince Sabo)

D Tudhope60%0/2J S Goldie60%
068077
3.0
Visor

Course winner. Without success since completing a hat-trick in spring 2024, despite attracting support on several occasions this season. Type to benefit from first-time visor, though, and booking of Danny Tudhope catches the eye. Engaged 4.30 Ayr Thursday.

Class Advantage

6/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/0727/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par17/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 13 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 25%6/07Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 38%Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 42%8/08Pos 11 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 11 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%2/09Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 54%17/09
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -36.8%Ahead 0/4