16:02 · Gowran Park

Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Apprentice Handicap

1m 1f 100yGoing TBC3YO plusTURFHandicap16 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
3
OR 65
11/2
Moyassr silks

Deepak Dhand

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Mehmas - Yin (Dansili)

Sam Coen60%0/1A McGuinness60%
600822
5.0
Tongue strap

Won 3 times for Paul W. Flynn this year and positive start for this yard when runner-up at Navan and Laytown, just failing at latter course. Remains of interest back up in trip.

Class Advantage

15/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par15/0728/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par6/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par18/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par10/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%15/07Pos 16 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 6%Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%6/08Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 93%2/09Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%10/09
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.9%Ahead 2/4
1
Top Pick1
OR 73
8/1
Java Wood silks

Peadar Kelly

6yo Gelding · 10-3

Requinto - Talkin Kate (Talkin Man)

Rory Mulligan60%0/2K Smith60%
130714
6.0

Well on top at the finish when resuming winning ways here (1m) early this month. Pulled too hard next time but type to bounce back returned to this venue.

Class Advantage

10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par10/0612/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par28/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par30/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par1/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par8/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%10/06Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 12 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 12 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 31%28/07Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%1/09Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%8/09
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.4%Ahead 2/4
5
7
OR 68
11/2
Hassaniya silks

Hassaniya Partnership

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Sands Of Mali - Few Words (Fraam)

Reese Holohan60%0/1M O'Callaghan60%
453302
5.0
Cheek pieces

Quickly got back on the up with a promising second under this rider at Punchestown on Tuesday so is one to bear in mind off the same mark with the return to further promising to suit.

Class Advantage

15/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/0320/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par11/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par31/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par15/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 86%15/03Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 78%20/06Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 14 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 24%31/07Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 92%15/09
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.2%Ahead 3/4
9
4
OR 64
13/2
Make The Tide silks

S Hyland

3yo Filly · 9-3

Make Believe - Tidewalker (Lawman)

Jack KearneyW McCreery
669012
6.0

Much improved to get off the mark in 16-runner event at Navan and backed that up with a good second under a penalty in another big-field handicap there 3 days later. That form is looking strong so she's not taken lightly.

Class Advantage

26/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/0511/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par7/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%26/05Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%1/07Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%2/09Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 95%5/09
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.4%Ahead 3/4
2
6
OR 69
10/1
Maeve Brennan silks

Eleanora Kennedy & Mrs J S Bolger

4yo Filly · 9-13

Teofilo - New To Town (New Approach)

Gabriella Hill60%−7lbJ S Bolger
355202
5.0

Low-mileage 4-y-o who had no chance with the winner when runner-up twice in handicaps this season. Has work to do back from a break and down in trip.

Class Advantage

21/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/102/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par25/04 · C7 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par24/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par12/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%21/10Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 69%28/03Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 95%Pos 21 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 21 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 13%24/05Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 94%12/06
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.0%Ahead 2/4
11
10
OR 63
13/2
Cladach silks

E S Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Dark Angel - Snowy Peak (Pivotal)

Shay Wallace−7lbJ P O'Brien
490832
6.0

Not yet fully exposed and starting to go the right way, backing up his third here (7f) with a second at Galway 11 days ago, shaping as if this stiffer test will suit.

Class Advantage

8/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/0724/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/08 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a22/08 · C7 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par1/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 79%8/07Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 18%7/08Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 80%1/09Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 92%8/09
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.2%Ahead 3/4
6
Value2
OR 67
20/1
Guinelot silks

Charlie Bit Me Syndicate

3yo Filly · 9-6

Camelot - Tilett (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Max Popan60%−7lbK J Condon60%
5410
5.0
Hood

Narrow winner of a weak maiden at Ballinrobe and was always behind on handicap bow at the Curragh.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/0613/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/0720/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/0716/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 56%20/06Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 63%13/07Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%20/07Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 18%16/08
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 16-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.8%Ahead 3/4
10
Market Fav5
OR 64
9/2
Sunrise Angel silks

Men Of Forty Eight Syndicate

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Calyx - Typify (Shirocco)

Jimmy Dalton1/1−7lbA Slattery
480661
5.0

Back to form when a clear-cut winner under this rider at Cork 3 weeks ago, justifying good support in the process. Another career best probably required off 9 lb higher, though.

Class Advantage

17/10 · C7 · finish vs mark above17/10 · mark par17/104/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par11/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par7/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par30/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%17/10Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 11 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 11 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 17%11/05Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 55%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 62%7/08Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%30/08
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.3%Ahead 1/4
15
15
OR 60
10/1
Cosmic Funk silks

Fergal Conroy

3yo Gelding · 8-13

Starman - Aretha (Mehmas)

Conor Cusack−7lbP J F Murphy60%
275564
3.0
Cheek pieces

Yet to win a race but he's pretty consistent, running right up to his best when fourth here (1m) 18 days ago.

Class Advantage

4/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par4/0618/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par15/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 92%4/06Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 69%15/07Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 76%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 55%27/08Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 79%1/09
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.0%Ahead 3/4
7
9
OR 62
16/1
Navajo Point silks

Deirdre Hassett

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Arizona. - Dashing Diamond (Excelebration)

Paddy Harnett60%1/4M Hassett
084210
5.0

Low-mileage 4-y-o who found some improvement when off the mark in big field over 1m here early this month, responding well having been under pressure a fair way out. Easy to forgive next run and this stiffer test should prove to be much more suitable.

Class Advantage

12/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par12/0518/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par12/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par1/09 · C9 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 16
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 15 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%12/05Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 53%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 77%12/07Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%1/09Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 47%9/09
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 3-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.8%Ahead 3/4
12
11
OR 62
8/1
Chirac silks

Ballyhimikin Stud

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Acclamation - Black Rodded (Bahamian Bounty)

J ClearyJ Feane
416244
5.0

Justified support here (7f) in April but beaten favourite on all 4 starts since and he hasn't been shaping as if in need of this longer trip.

Class Advantage

22/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/03 · mark par22/0322/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/04 · mark par4/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par14/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 16
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 79%22/03Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 58%4/06Pos 2 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 2 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 57%13/07Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 63%21/08
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.4%Ahead 1/4
16
13
OR 51
66/1
Deuteronomy silks

Anthony F McLoughlin

7yo Gelding · 8-9

Acclamation - Wild Whim (Whipper)

Nicola Burns4/24R P Burns60%
055899
2.0
Blinkers

Latest win at Cork in May off 2 lb higher but hasn't been at best of late.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/0618/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par11/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 13th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 29%5/06Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 64%11/07Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%25/07Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 60%5/09
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +51.7%Ahead 4/4
14
8
OR 61
25/1
Roaming Coyote silks

Atomic Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-0

Awtaad - Aurora Moon (Dragon Pulse)

Julian PietropaoloKevin Coleman
07620
4.0

Well backed when showing big improvement to finish second to a subsequent winner on his handicap bow over C&D in June, pulling clear of the rest. Shaped as if amiss later that month and off since (has been gelded). No surprise if he bounced back.

Class Advantage

16/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/1024/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par20/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par20/06projClass-projected finish: 15th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 33%16/10Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 14%24/04Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 44%3/05Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 92%1/06Pos 10 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 10 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%20/06
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 16-16 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.7%Ahead 3/4
3
14
OR 68
100/1
Pepper Noir silks

Rockview Stables

5yo Mare · 9-12

Outstrip - Quite Smart (Arcano)

Patrick McGettiganJ C McConnell
064860
2.0
Tongue strap

Back on the Flat having not taken to hurdling but was hardly in good form when seen in this sphere.

Class Advantage

19/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/12 · mark par19/1223/01 · C7 · finish vs mark below23/01 · mark par6/02 · C7 · finish vs mark below6/02 · mark par20/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below20/03 · mark par25/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/07projClass-projected finish: 16th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%19/12Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 22%6/02Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 18 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 18 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 23%25/04Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 30%10/07
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.4%Ahead 3/4
8
12
OR 62
66/1
Queen Aethelflaed silks

Kay Russell

4yo Filly · 9-6

Saxon Warrior - Don't Be (Cape Cross)

Orla Tynan60%1/6−7lbA Slattery
021400
4.0

Built on previous promise when winning here (1m) in June before shaping well at Leopardstown. However, her next 2 starts suggest she has gone off the boil.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par18/051/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par12/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par18/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par1/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par28/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par28/07projClass-projected finish: 14th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 12 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 21%18/05Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%12/06Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 15 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 15 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 18%1/07Pos 13 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 13 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 25%28/07
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 10-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.5%Ahead 2/4
13
16
OR 57
50/1
Miss Crinshawn silks

Straffan Racing Partnership

4yo Filly · 9-1

Profitable - Latina Royale (Excelebration)

Keithen KennedyPeter Fahey60%
424370
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Maiden who hit the frame first 5 starts this season. However, not in same form tried over a variety of trips since and headgear now applied.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par25/0419/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 16
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%25/04Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 75%22/06Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 45%20/07Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 52%27/08
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 15-16 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.9%Ahead 1/4