13:52 · Navan

Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)

2m 3fGoing TBC4YO plusTURFHandicap19 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 98
11/2
Pure Logic silks

Multi Nationals Syndicate

6yo Mare · 11-12

Muhaarar - Dhan Dhana (Dubawi)

Paddy Hanlon60%1/7−5lbJ J Hanlon70%
536P31
7.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Didn't need to improve to open her account in first-time tongue strap in 5-runner handicap hurdle at Killarney (2½m) last time, just holding on. A 4lb-rise probably prevents a follow up here.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/06 · mark par1/0614/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par2/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par12/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par13/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par22/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 58%1/06Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 85%2/07Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 29%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 87%13/08Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%22/08
Projected finish1st of 19100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +48.0%Ahead 3/4
8
Market Fav2
OR 87
9/2
Sekakarma silks

W M Roper

9yo Gelding · 11-1

Hillstar - Larsen Bee (Frenchmans Bay)

Donagh Meyler0/3W M Roper
594231
8.0

Lightly raced for his age. Had been knocking on the door and didn't need to improve to get off the mark at Wexford (2½m), keeping on gamely having been well positioned. A double may just prove beyond him off 4 lb higher.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par13/0530/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par14/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par7/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par28/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 76%13/05Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 53%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 79%14/07Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 87%19/08Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%28/08
Projected finish2nd of 1994% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.3%Ahead 4/4
9
7
OR 87
15/2
Noble Rocco silks

Jeffrey Brennan

4yo Filly · 10-13

Shirocco - Noble Court (Court Cave)

Sam Ewing60%G Elliott
7973
4.0

Longish odds all 3 maiden starts, finishing 24 lengths third of 12 at Wexford (17f, good, 40/1) latest. Remains with the potential to do better now switched to a handicap/longer trip by top yard.

Class Advantage

25/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a25/0512/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/0713/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/0828/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%25/05Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 20%12/07Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 45%13/08Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 82%28/08
Projected finish3rd of 1989% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.0%Ahead 3/4
6
5
OR 91
15/2
Scary Askari silks

Barry Begley Jnr

6yo Gelding · 11-5

Buck's Boum - Princesse Pauline (Mansonnien)

Mr D McGill−7lbN C Kelly
208603
4.0

Low-mileage 6-y-o. Much tighter in the betting when leaving previous efforts behind at Downpatrick (2¾m) on final start for Sean McParlan, finishing 16 lengths third. Interesting if capable new yard has him ready to roll following 4 months off.

Class Advantage

10/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a10/0819/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below4/11 · mark par31/12 · C9 · finish vs mark below31/12 · mark par22/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par22/05projClass-projected finish: 9th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 75%10/08Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 21%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 30%10/10Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 58%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%31/12Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 86%22/05
Projected finish4th of 1983% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.5%Ahead 3/4
11
4
OR 84
10/1
Demanding Gerry silks

Thelostshoegang Partnership

7yo Mare · 10-12

Masterofthehorse - Baro'gs Benefit (Beneficial)

Michael Kenneally0/2−5lbJ Fahey
2024P4
5.0
Tongue strap

Maiden has finished runner-up 3 times in handicap and wasted no time in getting back to form when 3½-length fourth at Kilbeggan (19f), Solid chance at the weights with good-value claimer back aboard.

Class Advantage

25/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par25/072/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/10 · mark par14/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/10 · mark par27/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par14/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par3/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 92%25/07Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 93%Pos 12 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 12 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 42%14/10Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 77%14/06Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 80%3/09
Projected finish5th of 1978% of fieldRange 3-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.1%Ahead 3/4
5
3
OR 92
8/1
Hatfield Hammer silks

Paul Nolan

7yo Gelding · 11-6

Elusive Pimpernel - Moray Firth (Halling)

Ross Berry−7lbP Nolan60%
P9634U
4.0
Blinkers

Consistent for one at this level. Only 2 lb higher than when successful at Wexford in May and didn't get the chance to show what he could do in first-time blinkers at Bellewstown (2½m) last time (rider exited in bizarre circumstances at the first).

Class Advantage

24/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/0729/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par20/11 · C10 · finish vs mark below20/11 · mark par5/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par3/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par23/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 69%24/07Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 27%20/11Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 85%3/07Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 73%23/07
Projected finish6th of 1972% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.3%Ahead 2/4
7
6
OR 90
6/1
Maxicourt silks

Patrick J Duffy

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Maxios - Kibara (Sadler's Wells)

Conor Smithers60%0/1−7lbP J Duffy
9P3753
4.0

Encouraging that he arrives on the back of consecutive good efforts (typically inconsistent). Travelled smoothly to finish as close as he has when 1-length third behind Pure Logic at Killarney (2½m). Weighted to reverse that form and be firmly in the mix, provided he's in the same mood here.

Class Advantage

20/04 · C10 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par20/0410/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par10/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par3/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par13/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par22/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 53%20/04Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 91%10/07Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 73%13/08Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 86%22/08
Projected finish7th of 1967% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.6%Ahead 2/4
17
8
OR 84
5/1
Annie Button silks

Jolly Boys Syndicate

6yo Mare · 10-12

Sans Frontieres - Be My Leader (Supreme Leader)

Reserve 1P Flood
0P2610
5.0

Got back on track in first-time cheekpieces when winning 3m handicap hurdle at Cork in May (form reads well). Clearly wasn't 100% at Wexford later that month and could resume winning ways if back on song. RESERVE

Class Advantage

23/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/032/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/03 · mark par31/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/03 · mark par10/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par27/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par27/05projClass-projected finish: 8th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 50%23/03Pos 13 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 90%4/03Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 62%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%10/05Pos 11 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 11 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 23%27/05
Projected finish8th of 1961% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.2%Ahead 2/4
19
13
OR 72
25/1
Mr Erwitt silks

Kevin McDonagh

7yo Gelding · 10-0

Kingston Hill - Miss Blanche (King's Theatre)

Reserve 3V T O'Brien
49PPPP
3.0

Pulled up previous 4 starts. RESERVE

Class Advantage

11/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/0820/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/088/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/09projClass-projected finish: 18th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength12%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 10%11/08Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 50%20/08Pos 9 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 47%8/09
Projected finish9th of 1956% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.6%Ahead 3/3
12
17
OR 80
14/1
Cinnabar Moth silks

Cinnabar Partnership

5yo Mare · 10-8

Poet's Word - Ville Sainte (Saint Des Saints)

Sean Flanagan60%Liz Doyle
055694
3.0

Maiden who's run creditably in 3 of her 4 handicap starts this summer, latterly 8¾ lengths fourth of 9 at Tramore. A 1 lb reprieve may not be enough, though.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/0513/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/06 · mark par3/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par23/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par14/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par14/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 22%4/05Pos 5 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 56%1/06Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 58%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 27%23/07Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 63%14/08
Projected finish10th of 1950% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +45.7%Ahead 4/4
10
10
OR 85
14/1
Tomas O Maille silks

M Flannery

9yo Gelding · 10-13

Arakan - Itsafamilyaffair (Oscar)

Philip Donovan60%0/4M Flannery
P9P830
3.0

Looked to be coming back into form when 3 lengths third at Wexford in August. Hold-up tactics counted against him when disappointing over fences subsequently. Could be worth another chance back hurdling off his much-reduced mark.

Class Advantage

20/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/11 · mark par20/1112/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par9/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par19/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par28/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par11/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 15th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 36%20/11Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 11%9/06Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 85%28/08Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%11/09
Projected finish11th of 1944% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.7%Ahead 3/4
3
15
OR 94
25/1
Champagne Diamond silks

Miss R Hickey

6yo Gelding · 11-8

Diamond Boy - Mini Adventure (King's Theatre)

Phillip Enright60%0/2T J O'Mara
555086
2.0
Tongue strap

Maiden pointer. Tongue strap on and showed a bit more when well-held sixth of 16 on qualifying run at Killarney (2m, good to soft). Could do better back up in trip for handicap bow.

Class Advantage

4/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/087/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/0822/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 31%4/08Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 46%7/08Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 67%22/08
Projected finish12th of 1939% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +47.9%Ahead 3/3
13
9
OR 80
10/1
Leo Messy silks

Leo Reilly

6yo Gelding · 10-8

Court Cave - Fairytales Minnie (Kalanisi)

Harry Sexton0/5−7lbT Gibney
00083
4.0
Tongue strap

Stepped up on his handicap debut/reappearance when 7¾-length third in big-field Cork handicap (17f) last time. Still early days and could be more competitive back over a more suitable trip.

Class Advantage

8/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/0329/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par3/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 31%8/03Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 25%29/03Pos 16 · SP 400/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 400/1 | Actual: 38%4/04Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 46%12/07Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 87%3/08
Projected finish13th of 1933% of fieldRange 1-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.6%Ahead 3/4
4
12
OR 94
20/1
Tuckmill silks

T McParland

10yo Gelding · 11-8

Court Cave - Newhall (Shernazar)

Mr R M McParland0/4−7lbPeter Fahey70%
0P70P7
2.0
Cheek pieces

Going through the motions at present. Unable to sustain his effort when beaten 14 lengths in change of headgear at Bellewstown (17f, good), a mixed round of jumping hardly helping his cause.

Class Advantage

26/12 · C11 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par26/1213/01 · C10 · finish vs mark below13/01 · mark par11/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par17/03 · C10 · finish vs mark below17/03 · mark par30/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par26/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 13th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 64%26/12Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 15 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 15 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 13%11/07Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 65%Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 53%30/04Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 57%26/08
Projected finish14th of 1928% of fieldRange 1-19 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.5%Ahead 3/4
2
11
OR 95
12/1
Classy Cc silks

Patrick Campbell

6yo Mare · 11-9

Doyen - Even Though (Trans Island)

Conor Brassil60%0/2M Brassil
630294
4.0
Tongue strap

Attracted support when runner-up at Naas in March. Back to form when 11¼ lengths fourth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Sligo (2¼m) in early-May, when probably sent for home too soon. Weighted to go well on return from 5 months away.

Class Advantage

15/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below15/10 · mark par15/1018/11 · C10 · finish vs mark below18/11 · mark par1/01 · C10 · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par4/03 · C10 · finish vs mark below4/03 · mark par31/03 · C10 · finish vs mark below31/03 · mark par12/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par12/05projClass-projected finish: 5th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 29%15/10Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 61%1/01Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 94%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 38%31/03Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 79%12/05
Projected finish15th of 1922% of fieldRange 7-17 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.9%Ahead 3/4
14
14
OR 75
25/1
Monty's Way silks

George Stanley

8yo Gelding · 10-3

Fastnet Rock - Monty's Girl (High Chaparral)

Daniel King60%0/1G Stanley80%
P00087
2.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Caused a 40/1 surprise at Ballinrobe in spring 2024. Ran his best race since when beaten 17 lengths at Galway (2¾m, 66/1, soft). Daniel King rides again and not taken lightly off much-reduced mark.

Class Advantage

19/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par19/0921/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/11 · mark par27/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par28/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par7/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 16th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%19/09Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 31%27/05Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 36%28/08Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 67%7/09
Projected finish16th of 1917% of fieldRange 6-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.5%Ahead 4/4
16
16
OR 72
50/1
Subset silks

Denis P Beary

12yo Gelding · 10-0

Dahjee - Secret Flutter (Entrepreneur)

Mike O'Connor60%P Maher60%
P59F2P
4.0
Cheek pieces

Fair cross-country chaser who looked very rusty on return in a handicap chase at Ballinrobe (23f, good) 8 days ago. Entitled to still need this rare hurdle start.

Class Advantage

29/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par29/0410/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par14/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/04 · mark par16/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par1/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par29/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par29/05projClass-projected finish: 14th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%29/04Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%14/04Pos 15 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 27%1/05Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%29/05
Projected finish17th of 1911% of fieldRange 4-19 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.3%Ahead 3/4
18
18
OR 93
50/1
Glendaars Secret silks

Frank Reynolds

5yo Gelding · 11-7

Valirann - Secret Breeze (High Chaparral)

Reserve 2D A McLoughlin60%
060
2.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Well held at long odds 3 maiden starts (hinted at ability). Reasonable to think he can do better in first-time tongue strap on handicap debut/return, for all the handicapper hasn't taken any chances with his opening mark. RESERVE

Class Advantage

4/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/0522/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/056/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/06projClass-projected finish: 19th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 44%4/05Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 64%22/05Pos 20 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 20 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 17%6/06
Projected finish18th of 196% of fieldRange 7-19 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +42.0%Ahead 3/3
15
19
OR 73
16/1
At The Wings silks

Stones & Homes Syndicate

6yo Gelding · 10-1

Wings Of Eagles - Assidua (Anshan)

Shane O'Callaghan60%0/1N Lee
000775
2.0
Tongue strap

Showed some ability remained on third run back from an absence at Wexford (17f) last time, finishing 7¼ lengths fifth of 12. On handy mark if building on that, with step back up in trip likely to benefit.

Class Advantage

8/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/0929/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/09 · mark par21/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/11 · mark par12/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par21/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par28/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 17th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 42%8/09Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 29%21/11Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 54%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%21/07Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 64%28/08
Projected finish19th of 190% of fieldRange 11-19 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.5%Ahead 1/4