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13:35 · Chester

John Smith's Nursery

7f 1yGoing TBCClass 52YO onlyTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Value2
OR 71
8/1
Koodini silks

The Fifteen 39ers

Koodini

2yo Colt · 9-5

Kodi Bear - Magical Dreamer (Acclamation)

Jason Watson70%0/2H Palmer70%
223104
6.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Off the mark at Catterick in July. Respectable fourth of 10 at Haydock 16 days ago, faring best of those ridden close up in strongly-run race, but he's got a tricky draw to contend with here.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/0625/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par22/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par20/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength83%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 88%12/06Pos 2 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 2 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%2/07Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 12 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 35%20/08Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%3/09
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.1%Ahead 3/4
9
4
OR 67
7/1
Navy Light silks

Mr R A Fahey

Navy Light

2yo Colt · 9-1

Supremacy - Julia's Magic (Dandy Man)

O McSweeneyR A Fahey60%
423
7.0Going 8.0

Modest form when third of 11 in a seller over C&D in June, keeping on for a third in-frame effort from as many starts. Plenty of progress required making nursery debut after 98 days off.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0412/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/0513/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength65%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%25/04Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 80%12/05Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%13/06
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.9%Ahead 1/3
1
Market Fav3
OR 75
3/1
Somers Isles silks

Bermuda Racing Ltd

Somers Isles

2yo Filly · 9-9

Churchill - Lovely Breeze (Sepoy)

P J McDonald60%A M Balding80%Course spec.
23
7.0Going 7.0

Similar form when placed both starts, finishing third of 10 at Newbury (second won since) over 6f last month. Now steps back up to 7f with the aid of a good draw so is one to take seriously making nursery debut on just third outing.

Class Advantage

17/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/0726/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength69%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 83%17/07Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 78%26/08
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.0%Ahead 1/2
5
8
OR 70
10/1
Red Tail silks

Mr Robert Tyrell & Partner

Red Tail

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Showcasing - Roo Ra (Dragon Pulse)

S C Cronin60%0/2−3lbR Hannon80%
205
4.0

Second on debut at Brighton but then came last of 13 at Newbury in August, proving virtually unrideable after hanging badly. Bit better when fifth of 8 in a maiden at Epsom 19 days ago though still didn't keep straight under pressure and he needs progress on nursery debut.

Class Advantage

7/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a7/0815/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0831/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength68%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%7/08Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%15/08Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 43%31/08
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.0%Ahead 1/3
11
Top Pick1
OR 66
12/1
Absolute Diamond silks

Dukes Head Group

Absolute Diamond

2yo Filly · 9-0

Kodiac - Path Of Totality (War Front)

P Cosgrave60%1/2P D Evans60%
246614
5.0Going 8.0

Raced prominently when winning nursery on softer going at Chepstow last month, beating a subsequent winner. Below par when fourth of 9 in seller at Salisbury 8 days ago but is well drawn to attack here.

Class Advantage

15/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0629/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par11/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 80%15/06Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 70%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 38%8/07Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%29/08Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 63%11/09
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.0%Ahead 2/4
7
5
OR 69
10/1
High Hazard silks

Carswells Fire Engineering Racing

High Hazard

2yo Gelding · 9-3

Palace Pier - Parlour Palm (Bated Breath)

Mason Paetel−3lbH Palmer80%
923005
3.0
Cheek pieces

Saw his race out well when fifth at Haydock last time but is still a maiden after 6 starts and lacks scope so he's got plenty on from the worst of the draw.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/0516/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par20/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength92%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 11%31/05Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 60%4/07Pos 16 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 12%Pos 13 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 29%20/08Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 56%3/09
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.3%Ahead 2/4
8
7
OR 68
11/2
Gerry's Darling silks

Thomas Kirby & Partner

Gerry's Darling

2yo Filly · 9-2

Palace Pier - Flymetothemoon (Dark Angel)

Joanna MasonRoger Fell
872133
7.0Going 8.0

Off the mark in a maiden at Musselburgh in July and has twice been third in nurseries since, latterly of 10 at Haydock 16 days ago when beaten by a pair that could be some way ahead of their marks. Well drawn and should take a hand.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/069/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par7/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 42%20/06Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 92%19/07Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%7/08Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 78%3/09
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.0%Ahead 3/4
2
6
OR 72
8/1
Persian Land silks

Mr S W Banks

Persian Land

2yo Gelding · 9-6

Persian Force - Demesne (Dansili)

J F EganP D Evans80%
12672
6.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Won on debut in soft ground over 6f in May but has regressed since, finishing second of 9 in a seller at Salisbury 8 days ago. First-time cheekpieces now applied and stable also has another contender in the race.

Class Advantage

21/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/054/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par11/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%21/05Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 75%4/06Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 17%16/06Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%27/08Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 88%11/09
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.4%Ahead 0/4
4
10
OR 71
10/1
Sovereigns High silks

Mr Clarence Bennie Robinson

Sovereigns High

2yo Colt · 9-5

Ten Sovereigns - High Gloss (Invincible Spirit)

Jack Doughty60%R M Beckett60%
3838
4.0

Best effort when third of 5 in a maiden over 6f at this course in August but form hasn't been given a boost yet. Not seen to best effect from widest stall at Newbury last time so remains with some potential for nurseries.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/0613/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/072/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/0826/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 78%29/06Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 36%13/07Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%2/08Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 46%26/08
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.8%Ahead 2/4
6
9
OR 69
20/1
Crazy Cubana silks

West Paces Racing Uk 2024 Llc

Crazy Cubana

2yo Filly · 9-3

Kodiac - Dukinta (Dubawi)

Ashley Lewis60%0/1−3lbE Walker
10306
3.0Class ↓4

Won on debut (6f) in May but hasn't kicked on since. Raced freely and checked out tamely when sixth of 8 at Kempton on all-weather over 1m 14 days ago and is hard to fancy after that.

Class Advantage

9/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/0519/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par30/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength77%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%9/05Pos 19 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 25%19/06Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 50%13/07Pos 17 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 6%30/07Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 29%5/09
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.9%Ahead 2/4
10
11
OR 66
10/1
Nascent Star silks

Manor House Stables Syndicate Vi

Nascent Star

2yo Colt · 9-0

Starman - Born With Grace (Born To Sea)

Liam Wright60%−3lbH Palmer80%
44029
3.0

Best effort when second of 10 in a nursery at Kempton in August but only ninth of 10 at Wolverhampton 33 days ago. This step up in trip could suit given his pedigree but he is one of 3 from a yard that have had no luck with the draw in this contest.

Class Advantage

11/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/0627/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 63%11/06Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 57%27/06Pos 16 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 35%18/07Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 89%5/08Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 11%17/08
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.2%Ahead 2/4