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15:52 · Chester

Style Joinery Handicap

7f 1yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 83
10/3
King Of Thunder silks

Roudee Racing 17

King Of Thunder

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Night Of Thunder - Sun Tide (Siyouni)

Ashley Lewis60%−3lbH Palmer60%
601641
8.0

10/1, career best when winning 12-runner C&D handicap (soft) 8 days ago, readily. Fresher than most for the time of year and much respected on follow-up bid.

Class Advantage

3/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/0920/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/10 · mark par7/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par5/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par11/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 6 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 55%3/09Pos 12 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 12 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%17/10Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 70%5/09Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%11/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +38.4%Ahead 4/4
3
2
OR 84
8/1
Blue Prince silks

G & A Racing

Blue Prince

5yo Gelding · 9-12

Blue Point - Zip Along (Iffraaj)

J F Egan0/1P D Evans60%
331773
6.0Class ↓3Going 8.0

Latest win in claimer here in August. 4/1, creditable 2¼ lengths third of 12 to King of Thunder in handicap over C&D (soft) 8 days ago.

Class Advantage

2/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par2/0721/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par2/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par22/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par11/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength77%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%2/07Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%2/08Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 54%5/09Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 82%11/09
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.8%Ahead 4/4
10
3
OR 79
6/1
Homestrait silks

Nick Bradley Racing 17 and Partner

Homestrait

3yo Filly · 9-4

Coulsty - Paradisia (Casamento)

Tom Kiely-Marshall60%1/2−3lbB Ellison60%
314612
7.0Going 10.0
Cheek pieces

Versatile with regard to ground, with her 7f wins this year coming on firm at Carlisle and heavy at Haydock. Went close to another success when beaten a neck over C&D (soft) 8 days ago. Raised another 3 lb for it, though.

Class Advantage

22/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par22/069/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par29/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par12/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%22/06Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%29/07Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%4/09Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 92%11/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.0%Ahead 3/4
9
6
OR 80
8/1
First Time silks

P D Smith Holdings Ltd

First Time

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Mohaather - Redhawk (Mastercraftsman)

O McSweeneyR A Fahey80%
063354
6.0Going 8.0
1st Visor +2

Won a 6f Newmarket maiden last summer for Harry Charlton. Largely proved consistent in handicaps for current yard this season, including fourth of 15 at York (7f, good) 13 days ago. Visor on first time. Enters calculations.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par13/0513/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par27/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par18/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par1/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par6/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 23%13/05Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 76%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 71%27/06Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 20%1/08Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 79%6/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.6%Ahead 3/4
11
5
OR 79
11/2
Merry silks

Hot To Trot Racing And R Mitchell

Merry

3yo Filly · 9-4

Zoustar - Hilary J (Mount Nelson)

P J McDonald60%James Horton
345212
6.0Going 8.0

Raced only on all-weather, winning 7f Kempton maiden in August and close second in 7f 3-y-o only handicap back there since (form boosted). Could play a prominent role if as effective on turf.

Class Advantage

3/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/127/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par19/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 80%3/12Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 57%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 64%30/04Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%19/08Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 88%26/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.2%Ahead 2/4
2
4
OR 85
14/1
Divine Libra silks

McLaren Horse Racing

Divine Libra

6yo Gelding · 9-13

Dark Angel - Rakiza (Elnadim)

Jason Watson70%0/2C Hills
288509
3.0Class ↓3

C&D winner at the 2024 May meeting but has drawn a blank in 18 starts since. Below par again at Southwell 5 weeks ago and it's likely best to look elsewhere.

Class Advantage

1/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/10 · mark par1/1015/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/04 · mark par6/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par4/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par29/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par16/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%1/10Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 42%6/05Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 47%29/07Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%16/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.4%Ahead 4/4
4
8
OR 82
13/2
Andesite silks

Swales & Fell

Andesite

4yo Gelding · 9-10

Pinatubo - Katie's Diamond (Turtle Bowl)

Darragh KeenanRoger Fell
220571
6.0Class ↓4
Tongue strap

Finally added to his 2-y-o debut success when edging ahead close home at Thirsk (7f, good to soft) 14 days ago. More than talented enough to cope with a 2 lb nudge but he's one who needs things to fall right.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/0627/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par10/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par1/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength80%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 94%13/06Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 44%10/07Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%15/08Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%5/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.9%Ahead 2/4
5
7
OR 84
11/2
Vidmiyr silks

James Paul Services To Industry Ltd

Vidmiyr

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Footstepsinthesand - Vadaiyma (Dansili)

William Pyle70%J Candlish
123041
7.0Going 8.0

Career best when winning 8-runner handicap at this course (7.6f, good to soft, 9/2) 7 days ago. Has a good record on going softer than good but the outside stall could be awkward.

Class Advantage

19/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par19/0530/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par27/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par1/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par12/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 1/3 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 1/3 | Actual: 100%19/05Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%12/06Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%1/08Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%12/09
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.8%Ahead 1/4
8
9
OR 78
16/1
Diligent Resdev silks

Resdev & Lee Westwood

Diligent Resdev

5yo Gelding · 9-6

Due Diligence - Doobahdeedoo (Animal Kingdom)

Joanna Mason1/9M & D Easterby
369696
2.0

Respectable sixth of 12 in handicap (6/1) at Southwell (6f) 16 days ago, not ideally placed. Finally lower in the handicap than when winning the 2024 Bronze Cup at Ayr.

Class Advantage

14/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par14/067/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par9/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par3/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 83%14/06Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 11%9/05Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%20/06Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 55%3/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -30.6%Ahead 0/4
6
10
OR 83
25/1
County Carlow silks

Future Champions Racing Syn & Mps Raci

County Carlow

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Saxon Warrior - Rabiosa Fiore (Sakhee's Secret)

Edward Greatrex60%B Haslam60%
241270
3.0
Cheek pieces

Made all in 6f Sligo maiden (good to soft, wore cheekpieces) for Paddy Twomey in the spring but never threatened ridden differently (held up) in sprint handicaps at Doncaster and Thirsk for new yard last month. Could only consider if backed in refitted headgear.

Class Advantage

20/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/0310/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par28/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 1y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 92%20/03Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%3/05Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 33%15/08Pos 18 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%28/08
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.5%Ahead 2/4