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20:22 · Churchill Downs

Race 8 - Claiming

1m 110yGoing TBC3YO plusTURF11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 100
8/1
Overstatement silks

Diamond Club Stables

Overstatement

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Exaggerator - What A Sassy Gal (Mineshaft)

Alberto Burgos60%1/5Kenneth Miller60%
132664
6.0

Class Advantage

8/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par8/046/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/05 · mark par3/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par25/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par19/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par16/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%8/04Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 80%3/06Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 29%19/07Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%16/08
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.5%Ahead 4/4
7
Value2
OR 98
6/1
Lucky Mischief silks

R Sparks

Lucky Mischief

4yo Colt · 8-10

Yoshida - She's Mischief (Into Mischief)

Mario Gutierrez60%0/1Rick Hiles60%
731345
7.0

Class Advantage

24/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par24/0422/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par10/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par1/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%24/04Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%10/06Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 73%1/08Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 64%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.3%Ahead 2/4
6
Market Fav3
OR 102
2/1
Battle Call silks

Tec Racing (elliott S Logan)

Battle Call

7yo Gelding · 8-10

Hard Spun - Rockport Honey (Rockport Harbor)

Jose Ortiz60%Joe Sharp80%
422113
8.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

29/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par29/062/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par3/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par25/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par19/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par14/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par14/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%29/06Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 88%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 88%3/06Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%19/07Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 75%14/08
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.0%Ahead 2/4
2
8
OR 102
7/2
War Officer silks

Saffie Joseph, Jr

War Officer

6yo Gelding · 8-10

War Front - Claire De Lune (Galileo)

Tyler Gaffalione60%0/1S Joseph Jr60%
564714
6.0

Class Advantage

29/01 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/01 · mark par29/0126/02 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/02 · mark par10/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par26/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par8/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par5/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%29/01Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 70%10/05Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%8/08Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 63%5/09
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.6%Ahead 2/4
5
5
OR 102
15/1
Big To Do silks

Novogratz Racing Stables, Inc

Big To Do

5yo Horse · 8-10

Cairo Prince - Tell Me Again (Majesticperfection)

William Iii Antongeorgi60%1/5Troy Wismer60%
316998
4.0

Class Advantage

10/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/01 · mark par10/0120/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/03 · mark par16/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par7/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par17/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par6/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 71%10/01Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%16/04Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 11%17/06Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 30%6/09
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.2%Ahead 4/4
4
9
OR 99
9/2
Baltimore Heart silks

Vanier, Nancy A , Gonella, Peter E And Williamson, Lyda

Baltimore Heart

5yo Horse · 8-10

Heart To Heart - Flight Pattern (Straight Line)

Emmanuel Esquivel60%2/5Brian Williamson60%
195881
5.0

Class Advantage

1/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/10 · mark par1/1022/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/10 · mark par27/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/11 · mark par27/12 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par29/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/01 · mark par26/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%1/10Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 60%27/11Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%29/01Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%26/07
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.3%Ahead 2/4
10
4
OR 101
20/1
Sugoi silks

Anayeli Ramirez

Sugoi

9yo Gelding · 8-10

Karakontie - Timeless Spirit (Devil His Due)

Walter Rodriguez60%1/2Ismael Bahena60%
432646
5.0Class ↓7

Class Advantage

29/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par29/0310/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par10/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par26/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par5/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 67%29/03Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 91%10/06Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 57%26/07Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 38%5/09
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.2%Ahead 2/4
8
6
OR 101
12/1
Friar Newton silks

Las Monjitas Stable

Friar Newton

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Always Dreaming - Summerly (Summer Squall)

Luan Machado0/1Paulo Lobo60%
328613
6.0

Class Advantage

25/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/09 · mark par25/0921/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/12 · mark par7/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/02 · mark par20/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/03 · mark par6/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par3/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par3/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%25/09Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 30%7/02Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%6/05Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%3/06
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.0%Ahead 2/4
11
7
OR 102
12/1
Franz Josef silks

Novogratz Racing Stables, Inc

Franz Josef

8yo Gelding · 8-10

Mshawish - Silent Emotion (Ghazi)

William Iii Antongeorgi60%1/3Troy Wismer60%
815212
8.0

Class Advantage

1/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par1/0822/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par19/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/12 · mark par16/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/06 · mark par7/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par26/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 22%1/08Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 60%19/12Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%7/07Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%26/07
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.7%Ahead 4/4
9
10
OR 91
30/1
Debt Paid silks

Rayfield Houghlin

Debt Paid

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Sixes Royal - Jesstifiable Debt (Blame)

D E Sheehy0/1Michelle Lovell80%
741878
3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

7/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par7/0628/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par12/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par27/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par10/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par6/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par6/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%7/06Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%12/07Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 45%10/06Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 13%6/08
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.5%Ahead 2/4
3
11
OR 106
15/1
Charge For Gold silks

Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners And Treitman, Bruce

Charge For Gold

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Omaha Beach - Gasp (Hennessy)

Yedsit Hazlewood60%Michael McCarthy
354740
3.0Class ↓7

Class Advantage

4/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/10 · mark par4/1015/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/01 · mark par22/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/02 · mark par11/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par11/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 78%4/10Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 73%22/02Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 40%11/06Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 18%20/07
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.7%Ahead 2/4