14:46 · Chester

Kidsbank Chester Handicap

6f 17yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap15 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Value2
OR 81
11/2
Kirkdale silks

Clarendon Thoroughbred Racing

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Zelzal - Al Markhiya (Arcano)

P J McDonald60%0/1E Bethell60%
244112
7.0
Visor

Won twice on all-weather in April and then returned from 5 months off with an excellent second of 12 at Southwell 16 days ago. Clearly at the top of his game and could go very well if transferring his progress back to turf (won on soft going as a 2-y-o).

Class Advantage

22/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/11 · mark par22/112/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/12 · mark par16/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/01 · mark par4/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par11/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/04 · mark par3/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%22/11Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 63%16/01Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%11/04Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 91%3/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.0%Ahead 3/4
6
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 79
9/2
Top Juggler silks

Chalkstone Racing

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Bungle Inthejungle - Rebecca Rolfe (Pivotal)

D Swift2/8S Spencer
532173
7.0Going 8.0

Won over 5.5f here in July but often races freely and produced just a respectable third of 10 at Ripon on latest start. Capable if settling better but stall 10 unlikely to help.

Class Advantage

3/11 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/11 · mark par3/1117/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par17/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par11/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par1/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 64%3/11Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%17/06Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 45%11/08Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 78%1/09
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.9%Ahead 3/4
10
6
OR 76
15/2
Watchdog silks

Richard Fahey Ebor Racing Club Ltd

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Time Test - Bimbo (Iffraaj)

O McSweeneyR A Fahey60%
481161
7.0

Progressive barring a blip at Hamilton, winning 3 of last 4 starts, including on all-weather at Lingfield 16 days ago. Merits respect in current heart but this looks a lot deeper.

Class Advantage

26/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/01 · mark par26/0128/03 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par20/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par16/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par27/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 63%26/01Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%20/04Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 29%27/05Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%3/09
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.0%Ahead 3/4
4
4
OR 81
15/2
Supreme King silks

Stuart Banks & David Evans

6yo Gelding · 9-9

Kingman - Alsindi (Acclamation)

J F Egan0/2P D Evans60%
271563
5.0

Won at Salisbury in August and ran well returned to that track when third 8 days ago. Went close here earlier in the year and could take a hand.

Class Advantage

10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par10/0729/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par12/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par22/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par11/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%10/07Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 76%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%12/08Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 38%29/08Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%11/09
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.1%Ahead 2/4
12
5
OR 74
10/1
Havana Rum silks

John F Doyle

6yo Gelding · 9-2

Havana Grey - Urban Hunt (Born To Sea)

P Cosgrave60%R A Fahey60%
533828
4.0Going 8.0

Looked well treated when second at Pontefract (6f) in August and was by no means disgraced when 8th of 21 over 5.5f at York 13 days ago, finding the sharper test beyond him. Well drawn if able to start a bit sharper than can sometimes be the case and the return to a full 6f can see him go well.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/061/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par25/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par16/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par6/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 56%13/06Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 89%11/07Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 65%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 88%16/08Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 65%6/09
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.9%Ahead 3/4
9
8
OR 77
13/2
Proof silks

Gary and Linnet Woodward

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Zoustar - Filona (Motivator)

Jason Watson70%2/4C Hills
198061
5.0
Tongue strap

Better than ever having been gelded before winning a 7-runner handicap at Epsom over this trip 19 days ago, beating a subsequent winner. 4 lb rise for that means he's still of plenty of interest for in-form yard but stall 14 may scupper his chance.

Class Advantage

11/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/04 · mark par11/048/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par17/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par5/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/06 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%11/04Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 27%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 46%17/05Pos 13 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 17%23/06Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.1%Ahead 3/4
11
3
OR 74
12/1
Miraculous silks

Ambrose Turnbull & John Cruces

4yo Gelding · 9-2

Too Darn Hot - Priceless (Exceed And Excel)

Sean Kirrane0/2T D Easterby
781240
5.0

C&D winner who also capitalised on falling mark at Southwell in August. Backed that up when runner-up next time out but his effort at Doncaster 6 days ago wasn't encouraging.

Class Advantage

3/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par3/0725/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par21/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par13/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%3/07Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%6/08Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 70%27/08Pos 14 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 14 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 13%13/09
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.0%Ahead 2/4
7
7
OR 80
10/1
Golden Brown silks

Kennet Valley Syndicates Xii

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Galileo Gold - Dark Acclamation (Acclamation)

Ashley Lewis60%1/1E Walker
221863
5.0Class ↓3

Off the mark in a Salisbury maiden in May and ran well upped to 7f when third of 8 at Ascot 15 days ago. Good-value rider's claim could help him figure in the finish if able to cope with a high draw.

Class Advantage

4/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par4/1020/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par13/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par12/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength79%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 93%4/10Pos 2 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%23/05Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 17%12/08Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 71%4/09
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.5%Ahead 3/4
8
9
OR 76
10/1
Amazonian Dream silks

Great Western Racing

7yo Gelding · 9-4

Bungle Inthejungle - Grandmas Dream (Kyllachy)

Darragh KeenanB R Millman60%
221745
4.0
Cheek pieces

Windsor regular who wasn't seen to best effect there last time. Now tries this track for the first time from a tough draw so probably best opposed.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par29/0613/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par20/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par27/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par17/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 88%29/06Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%20/07Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%17/08Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%29/08
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.7%Ahead 2/4
14
12
OR 71
12/1
Moonstone Boy silks

Mrs Ros Marriott

5yo Gelding · 8-13

Calyx - Star Fire (Dark Angel)

William Pyle70%J Candlish60%
047784
3.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Still finding feet for this yard and not seen to best effect when fourth of 11 at Haydock returning from 5 months off over 5f 15 days ago. Goes well on soft going and could come on for that outing but needs to prove himself up to 6f.

Class Advantage

10/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par10/1017/01 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/01 · mark par16/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/02 · mark par5/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/03 · mark par10/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 47%10/10Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 14%16/02Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 45%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%10/04Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 70%4/09
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.0%Ahead 1/4
13
10
OR 72
20/1
Mission Command silks

Miss C Dolan

4yo Gelding · 9-0

Acclamation - Point Reyes (Competitive Edge)

Elle-May Croot60%−5lbJ Candlish80%
417717
5.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Returned to winning ways in a claimer at Wolverhampton over this trip in July, making all and travelling fluently, but bombed out back in handicap company earlier this month and now switches visor for blinkers. Well drawn to attack if headgear works.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par30/0512/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 25%30/05Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%1/07Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%30/07Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%4/09
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-15 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.4%Ahead 2/4
15
11
OR 67
33/1
Paws For Thought silks

Mrs Carol Shaw

8yo Gelding · 8-9

Requinto - Kitty Softpaws (Royal Applause)

Mason PaetelD McCain Jnr90%
907599
3.0Class ↓3
1st Tongue Strap +2

Multiple course winner but hasn't won in a year and recent efforts haven't been inspiring. Headgear discarded and now replaced by first-time tongue strap.

Class Advantage

18/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par18/108/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par25/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par11/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 11%18/10Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 40%12/06Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%11/07Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 27%11/09
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 11-15 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.0%Ahead 1/4