14:26 · Navan

Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)

2m 3fGoing TBC4YO plusTURFHandicap19 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
4
OR 84
4/1
Mother Ship silks

Give Me A Name Syndicate

6yo Mare · 10-12

Affinisea - Little Vinnie (Vinnie Roe)

Paddy Hanlon60%0/13−5lbJ J Hanlon70%
880722
6.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Long-standing maiden. Runner-up previous 2 handicap hurdle starts. Finished ahead of a couple of next-time-out winners before coming from a less-than-ideal position when beaten 4 lengths at Newton Abbot latest. High on the shortlist in her current vein of form.

Class Advantage

12/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par12/0530/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par16/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par7/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 53%12/05Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 31%16/07Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 54%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 93%19/08Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 86%7/09
Projected finish1st of 19100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.5%Ahead 4/4
7
3
OR 94
8/1
Papagei silks

Mrs Heidi Gibney

5yo Gelding · 11-8

Masar - Dibajj (Iffraaj)

James Smith60%0/3−5lbT Gibney
7F545
2.0

Showed more than previously over hurdles when 6½ lengths fifth on handicap bow at Sligo in July. Again well below his fairly useful best on the Flat later that month. Place claims if picking up where he left off back hurdling.

Class Advantage

23/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/10 · mark par23/108/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par29/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 18%23/10Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 54%Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 83%4/04Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 71%12/07Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%29/07
Projected finish2nd of 1994% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.8%Ahead 3/4
5
5
OR 97
6/1
Clanokre Lass silks

L P MacDonald

4yo Filly · 11-9

Poet's Word - Simplyonelady (Old Vic)

Danny Gilligan60%G Elliott
6453
4.0

Cheap purchase who looked more straightforward when 5½ lengths third in Down Royal maiden (17f) on qualifying run. Still early days for one from top yard and no surprise if she builds on that sent handicapping over longer trip.

Class Advantage

10/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a10/055/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/069/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/0828/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%10/05Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 81%5/06Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 33%9/08Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 78%28/08
Projected finish3rd of 1989% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.9%Ahead 4/4
8
Value2
OR 92
11/2
Bowgate Street silks

Oron Construction Services Limited

7yo Mare · 11-6

Champs Elysees - Morning Babe (Yeats)

Phillip Enright60%M Flannery
802733
6.0
Tongue strap

Sole success came at Sligo in May. On another going day when 3½ lengths third in big-field handicap at Kilbeggan (19f, good) latest. In the mix if maintaining her rare consistent spell.

Class Advantage

26/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par26/0514/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par10/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par24/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par19/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par3/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%26/05Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 93%10/07Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 83%19/08Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 87%3/09
Projected finish4th of 1983% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.3%Ahead 4/4
3
Top Pick1
OR 97
10/1
Jurality silks

Roy Racing Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 11-11

Masar - Notary (Lawman)

Donagh MeylerP W Flynn
005604
2.0

Most recent hurdle run was his best one when 6 lengths fourth at Bellewstown in April. Ridden more positively to win on Flat since, though did too much too soon in refitted blinkers (now removed) in handicap here last time. Could do better again back hurdling.

Class Advantage

7/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par7/062/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 14th of 19
Class readCOMPETITIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%7/06Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 91%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%15/07Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 13%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%21/08Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 27%2/09
Projected finish5th of 1978% of fieldRange 3-17 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.5%Ahead 2/4
12
6
OR 80
25/1
Lariat silks

Martin John Kavanagh

10yo Gelding · 10-8

Poet's Voice - Lasso (Indian Ridge)

Brian Hayes60%0/2L P Cusack60%
6599PP
4.0
Cheek pieces

Long-standing maiden who went close off 2 lb higher at Listowel last May. Excuses both hurdle starts this year but underlined his inconsistency back on the Flat at Tramore latest.

Class Advantage

29/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/09 · mark par29/0922/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above22/10 · mark par30/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/10 · mark par7/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par7/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 47%29/09Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 53%30/10Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 91%7/07Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 36%15/08
Projected finish6th of 1972% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +58.7%Ahead 4/4
4
Market Fav7
OR 96
11/4
Goin' silks

Fillies & Fizz Syndicate

6yo Gelding · 11-10

Nathaniel - Guavia (Invincible Spirit)

Daniel King60%0/5A J Martin60%
900553
4.0
HoodTongue strap

Middle-distance winner on Flat (fair form for current yard). Back on the up in this sphere when smooth-travelling third in first-time hood/tongue strap at Bellewstown (2½m), only denied by ¾-length. Looks up to going one better.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par25/0421/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par7/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par10/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par31/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par26/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 19
Class readCOMPETITIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 68%25/04Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 73%7/06Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 59%31/07Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 87%26/08
Projected finish7th of 1967% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.9%Ahead 1/4
18
14
OR 77
7/1
Jolly Potter silks

Frank Reynolds

7yo Gelding · 10-5

No Risk At All - Quoette De Touzaine (Ragmar)

Reserve 2J Fahey60%
78000
2.0
1st Hood +1

Again showed little switched to a handicap/upped in trip at Ballinrobe (2¾m). Off for further 8 weeks since. RESERVE

Class Advantage

30/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a30/0324/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par21/07projClass-projected finish: 18th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 14%30/03Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 13%24/04Pos 20 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 20 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 5%22/02Pos 12 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 15%15/05Pos 15 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 7%21/07
Projected finish8th of 1961% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.6%Ahead 3/4
1
10
OR 99
33/1
King Of The Greys silks

Shady Grey's Partnership

5yo Gelding · 11-13

Kingston Hill - I'll Takeher Bach (Bach)

Sam Ewing60%Peter Fahey
4088PP
2.0

Made the frame sole outing in points. No show either handicap start, latterly dropped into this grade with first-time hood added at Kilbeggan in late-July.

Class Advantage

4/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/0420/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/044/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/05projClass-projected finish: 11th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 42%4/04Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 30%20/04Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 61%4/05
Projected finish9th of 1956% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +42.5%Ahead 3/3
6
9
OR 95
10/1
No Big Deal silks

John P McManus

6yo Gelding · 11-9

Zoffany - Round Of Applause (Galileo)

Jordan GainfordC O'Brien
214098
3.0
Tongue strap

Only 2 lb higher than when successful at Clonmel last October. Prominent in the betting when let down by his jumping on latest start there in October. Entitled to go close if firing on all cylinders following 5 months away.

Class Advantage

29/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/09 · mark par29/0923/10 · C9 · finish vs mark above23/10 · mark par20/11 · C10 · finish vs mark below20/11 · mark par2/12 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/12 · mark par19/03 · C10 · finish vs mark below19/03 · mark par14/04 · C10 · finish vs mark below14/04 · mark par14/04projClass-projected finish: 6th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 93%29/09Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 81%20/11Pos 10 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 10 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 40%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 62%19/03Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 53%14/04
Projected finish10th of 1950% of fieldRange 4-18 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.7%Ahead 2/4
14
8
OR 77
12/1
Backinabit silks

Frances Dunne

7yo Gelding · 10-5

Notnowcato - Matinee Time (Brian Boru)

Philip Donovan60%D Hogan70%
0P1895
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Won 17f handicap in first-time blinkers at Wexford in July. Made most until home turn when beaten 8¾ lengths at Bellewstown (17f) last time. Could last longer in change of headgear, in a race without an abundance of pace.

Class Advantage

29/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/09 · mark par29/097/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/12 · mark par3/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par23/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par6/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par26/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%29/09Pos 13 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 13 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 48%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%3/07Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 36%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 47%6/08Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 71%26/08
Projected finish11th of 1944% of fieldRange 9-19 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.7%Ahead 3/4
13
11
OR 80
33/1
Movie King silks

V C Ward

9yo Gelding · 10-8

Animal Kingdom - Entertaining (Songandaprayer)

Mr B M Coonan1/11−7lbV C Ward60%
633808
2.0
Cheek pieces

Seemingly retains little ability following his latest lengthy absence.

Class Advantage

17/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/01 · mark par17/0125/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par22/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par24/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par26/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 15th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%17/01Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 42%22/08Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 20%24/07Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 42%26/08
Projected finish12th of 1939% of fieldRange 8-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.2%Ahead 3/4
2
15
OR 98
20/1
Home By The Sea silks

M O Cullinane

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Affinisea - Rita Pride (High Chaparral)

J J Slevin60%0/2P A Fahy
004065
2.0

Hold-up performer. Again shaped as though this sort of mark may not be beyond him when beaten 9¾ lengths at Down Royal latest. Longer trip may help but no guarantee he benefits from run of the race this time, either.

Class Advantage

26/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/036/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par29/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par28/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 27%26/03Pos 4 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 15 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%16/07Pos 16 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 12%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 64%10/08Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 69%28/08
Projected finish13th of 1933% of fieldRange 2-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.4%Ahead 3/4
11
17
OR 83
16/1
Frontier Rose silks

Philip McGee

5yo Mare · 10-11

Frontiersman - Vin Rose (Alflora)

Alex Harvey60%0/1Thomas Coyle
900866
2.0

Confirmed the improvement of her previous start when beaten 7½ lengths at Sligo (2¼m) last time. A 1 lb reprieve may not be enough to open her account, though.

Class Advantage

27/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/1126/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par5/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par12/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par6/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par6/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 47%27/11Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 18%8/05Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 53%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 64%12/07Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%6/08
Projected finish14th of 1928% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +33.5%Ahead 4/4
19
12
OR 98
66/1
Champagne Dawn silks

Miss R Hickey

9yo Gelding · 11-12

Shantou - Morning Calm (Montjeu)

Reserve 3T J O'Mara
8900P7
2.0

Weak finisher who isn't certain to build on his reappearance at Cork last month, when soon done with after briefly moving into contention. RESERVE

Class Advantage

22/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/0817/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par4/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/08 · mark par8/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par14/10 · C11 · finish vs mark below14/10 · mark par3/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par3/08projClass-projected finish: 13th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 17%22/08Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%4/08Pos 18 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 38%14/10Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 65%3/08
Projected finish15th of 1922% of fieldRange 5-19 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.0%Ahead 3/4
17
16
OR 72
12/1
Amron Diamond silks

Diamond Racing Syndicate

7yo Gelding · 10-0

Diamond Boy - Dawn Flyer (Broadway Flyer)

Reserve 1J Barcoe
0304P0
3.0

Hit-and-miss maiden who made the frame in 2 handicaps for J. D. Motherway last season. Shaped as if in need of the run on stable debut at Clonmel in May. On a reasonable mark if ready to roll. RESERVE

Class Advantage

17/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/0412/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par11/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par4/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/08 · mark par14/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par14/05projClass-projected finish: 12th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%17/04Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%28/05Pos 13 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 13 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 81%4/08Pos 13 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 13 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 14%14/05
Projected finish16th of 1917% of fieldRange 6-19 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.3%Ahead 2/4
15
13
OR 77
25/1
Magic Hands Noel silks

Threemilehouse Partnership

5yo Mare · 10-5

Blue Bresil - Elegant (Oscar)

Michael Kenneally−5lbG Keane
0000
2.0

Shown little at long odds in maiden hurdles. Promising claimer booked for handicap debut/return. Needs a market check.

Class Advantage

16/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/1122/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/1115/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/1215/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/01projClass-projected finish: 19th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 22 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 22 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%16/11Pos 18 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 26%22/11Pos 17 · SP 400/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 400/1 | Actual: 16%15/12Pos 15 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%15/01
Projected finish17th of 1911% of fieldRange 13-19 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.5%Ahead 2/4
10
19
OR 84
33/1
Simpletwistoffaith silks

Aisling O'Neill

9yo Gelding · 10-12

Laverock - Verney Roe (Vinnie Roe)

Danny Mullins60%John F O'Neill
5PPP69
2.0

Been a while since this maiden has offered anything in either sphere, however, needs a market check with Danny Mullins taking over following a pipe-opener last month.

Class Advantage

30/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/0722/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/10 · mark par31/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/10 · mark par21/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a21/08projClass-projected finish: 16th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 29%30/07Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 11 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 29%1/09Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 27%31/10Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 14%21/08
Projected finish18th of 196% of fieldRange 6-19 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.6%Ahead 4/4
16
18
OR 72
100/1
Deal Again silks

Mrs Bernadette O'Brien

12yo Gelding · 10-0

Jeremy - Gerannjo (Beneficial)

Conor Stone-Walsh60%V T O'Brien
000RPP
2.0

Has little worthwhile form and has presumably been difficult to train.

Class Advantage

18/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/1230/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par30/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/09 · mark par4/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 17th of 19
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 3f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 33%18/12Pos 18 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 19%Pos 14 · SP 400/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 400/1 | Actual: 32%24/05Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 12 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 21%30/09Pos 13 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 8%4/09
Projected finish19th of 190% of fieldRange 13-19 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.5%Ahead 4/4