16:25 · Chester

Lord Mayor's Spooktacular Fireworks Apprentice Handicap

1m 6f 87yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Top Pick1
OR 75
10/3
Tabasko silks

Chris Stedman

3yo Filly · 9-9

Too Darn Hot - Frankel's Storm (Frankel)

Ashley Lewis60%1/2E Walker
445221
7.0Going 10.0

4/5, career best when winning 4-runner handicap at Lingfield (1¾m, firm) 46 days ago. Has form on softer than good and is less exposed than the majority of these.

Class Advantage

25/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/1024/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/11 · mark par23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par1/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par4/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par4/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 87y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%25/10Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%23/05Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 50%18/07Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%4/08
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.4%Ahead 3/4
5
Market Fav2
OR 71
5/2
Zimmerman silks

The Zimmerman Syndicate

7yo Gelding · 9-12

Poet's Voice - Cresta Gold (Halling)

Jake Dickson60%1/2T D Easterby60%
236111
9.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Back to form with a vengeance this month, completing a quick hat-trick with plenty to spare at Catterick (1¾m, good) 11 days ago. Raised 6 lb but he's won off higher marks before.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par11/0521/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 87y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%11/05Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 55%8/06Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%4/09Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%8/09
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.1%Ahead 3/4
4
3
OR 71
3/1
Melon silks

Rockerfellers

5yo Gelding · 9-12

Adlerflug - Mrs Miller (Lord Of England)

Charlie Maggs60%O Greenall & J Guerriero
4461
6.0Class ↓5Going 9.0

Has developed into a useful handicap hurdler since a Flat win in the mud at Haydock in autumn 2024. Presumably using this as a prep for a return to hurdles but could still be hard to beat.

Class Advantage

23/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/018/03 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par12/12 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/12 · mark par16/01 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/01 · mark par28/02 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par10/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par10/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength100%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 87y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%23/01Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 80%12/12Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 46%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%28/02Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 95%10/04
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.1%Ahead 2/4
2
4
OR 72
15/2
Spartan Times silks

Mike Harris & Alan O'keeffe

5yo Gelding · 9-13

Frontiersman - Lysander Belle (Exceed And Excel)

William Pyle70%1/3J Candlish
135264
5.0Going 8.0

Won 4 times on the Flat in 2025. Made a winning return in a handicap hurdle in May and has been shaping up well on the Flat here lately. Likely to be on the premises again.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par2/0515/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par28/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par11/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par12/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 87y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%2/05Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 0%28/05Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 29%11/07Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 70%12/09
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -27.6%Ahead 2/4
1
5
OR 73
20/1
Dream Harder silks

Mr Paul Farrell

7yo Gelding · 10-0

Muhaarar - Silent Thoughts (Galileo)

Hope Regan0/1−7lbD M Loughnane70%
668147
4.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Reacted well to a first-time tongue tie (added to regular cheekpieces) when getting up in the dying strides over 1½m at Epsom (good to firm) in July. Well behind Zimmerman on much more testing ground at Haydock last time, though.

Class Advantage

29/11 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/11 · mark par29/1117/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par11/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par30/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par7/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 87y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%29/11Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%11/07Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%7/08Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 14%4/09
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.9%Ahead 3/4
9
7
OR 58
20/1
Bulldog Spirit silks

Clive Elliot & Partner

6yo Gelding · 8-13

Churchill - Banimpire (Holy Roman Emperor)

Isobelle Chalmers−7lbB J Llewellyn60%
753454
4.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Not won for over a year and struggled this season, coming in a remote fourth over 2m here last Friday.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par31/0530/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par14/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par12/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 87y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%31/05Pos 5 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 5 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%14/07Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 20%1/09Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 73%11/09
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.5%Ahead 2/4
12
10
OR 52
12/1
Risk Averse Rebel silks

Map Room

3yo Colt · 8-4

Starman - Cin Cin (Exceed And Excel)

Myla Coppins60%−5lbG Hanmer
533283
5.0

Remains winless but has placed on 4 of his last 5 starts, including over 10.3f here last Friday. Significantly up in trip. He's 4 lb out of the handicap so the likelihood is his wait for a first win will go on.

Class Advantage

24/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par24/042/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par16/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 87y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%24/04Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 78%16/06Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 13%17/08Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%11/09
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.8%Ahead 2/4
8
6
OR 71
16/1
Talka silks

Mr Jon Glews

3yo Filly · 9-5

Golden Horde - Taygeta (Almanzor)

Millie Wonnacott60%D McCain Jnr60%
744
4.0

Fair form in 3 Flat outings at up to 15f in France earlier in the year. Unexposed handicap newcomer for whom the betting should help guide to expectations.

Class Advantage

24/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0416/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/056/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength40%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 87y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 40%24/04Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 63%16/05Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 63%6/06
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.1%Ahead 1/3
10
8
OR 62
33/1
Kindly Queen silks

Three Lilywhites Ltd

3yo Filly · 8-10

Nathaniel - Queen Kazeem (Oasis Dream)

Christian Howarth60%C N Kellett60%
425397
3.0Going 7.0
Cheek pieces

Maiden. Second in a handicap for Ralph Beckett in May but no obvious promise in 2 outings for current yard.

Class Advantage

30/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par30/0311/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par11/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 87y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 70%30/03Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%11/06Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 11%25/07Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 45%2/09
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.4%Ahead 2/4
6
9
OR 69
33/1
Wiltshire Wonder silks

B J Llewellyn & Partner

6yo Gelding · 9-10

Wootton Bassett - Chanterelle (Trempolino)

Zoe Lewis60%−7lbB J Llewellyn70%
195056
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Won twice at Southwell in 2024 (including off a higher mark) but made the track only twice last season and hasn't featured in 2 outings for current yard. Headgear goes on. Best watched unless the betting speaks in his favour.

Class Advantage

20/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/12 · mark par20/1217/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/01 · mark par23/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/09 · mark par6/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/10 · mark par13/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 87y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%20/12Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%23/09Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 43%13/06Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%3/09
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.3%Ahead 2/4
11
11
OR 62
33/1
Al Za'ama silks

Birkdale Bloodstock

3yo Gelding · 8-10

Khalifa Sat - My Silver Bullet (Daylami)

Alfie Redman60%−5lbD McCain Jnr80%
048
3.0
Tongue strap

Undistinguished in 3 Flat runs for Andrew Balding and pulled up on hurdle debut for new yard in July. Has had a breathing operation ahead of this return to the Flat.

Class Advantage

9/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a9/103/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/1230/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/04projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength29%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 87y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 10 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%9/10Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 57%3/12Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%30/04
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -27.4%Ahead 1/3
3
12
OR 71
20/1
Carthusian silks

The Carthusians

4yo Gelding · 9-12

Lope De Vega - Chartreuse (Lawman)

Liam Wright60%J Candlish
707974
2.0

Fair maiden at up to 17f in Ireland for Jessica Harrington. New stable picked him up for 15,500 gns last month. The betting should help guide expectations.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par8/0524/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par12/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par26/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par7/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par14/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par14/07projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 87y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 54%8/05Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 65%12/06Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%7/07Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%14/07
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.9%Ahead 1/4