18:30 · Newcastle

Happy Birthday Dave Miller From Probio energy.com Handicap (Div 2)

6fGoing TBCClass 63YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 60
5/2
Get Up Everybody silks

Mr J N Blackburn

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Invincible Army - Laila Honiwillow (Bahamian Bounty)

D Nolan1/12P T Midgley60%
475331
8.0

Confirmed recent promise when breaking his duck in 14-runner handicap over C&D last month. That looks solid form for the grade (runner-up successful since) and he looks up to defying a 3 lb higher mark.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par18/0529/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par20/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 70%18/05Pos 7 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 7 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%3/07Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%1/08Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%20/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.7%Ahead 1/4
3
4
OR 60
8/1
Surgeon Commander silks

Mike Brennan

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Cotai Glory - Very Good (Kodiac)

Billy GarrittyCraig Lidster70%
136416
5.0
Blinkers

Enhanced excellent record at this track when gaining third win (all 7f) in June and shaped as if better for the run at Southwell 3 months on. Likely to take a step forward here.

Class Advantage

22/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/01 · mark par22/0131/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/01 · mark par4/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par14/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%22/01Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 29%4/06Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 79%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%25/06Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 55%31/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.4%Ahead 2/4
4
Market Fav2
OR 58
2/1
Melissa Honey silks

Gb Civil Engineering (leicester) Ltd

4yo Filly · 9-7

Showcasing - Libras Power (Slade Power)

Mark WinnM Herrington60%
312131
8.0Going 8.0Class ↓4

Added to a good season when game winner of 6-runner handicap at Nottingham (6f, good to firm, 5/1) 39 days ago. Ought to remain competitive following a token rise in the weights.

Class Advantage

25/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par25/056/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par21/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par29/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par11/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par11/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%25/05Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 90%21/06Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 33%29/07Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%11/08
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.3%Ahead 2/4
2
3
OR 60
12/1
Glowchester silks

Alfa Site Services Ltd

5yo Mare · 9-9

Massaat - Piranha (Exceed And Excel)

Jonny PeateI Furtado
43222
7.0Going 8.0

Finished runner-up on 3 of her 5 starts in novice company for Craig Lidster in 2024, although her latest effort was some way below her previous ones. Returns after a nearly 2-year absence for a new yard having had a breathing operation and the market should be informative.

Class Advantage

23/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/075/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/09 · mark par19/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/10 · mark par19/10projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%23/07Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 67%5/08Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%10/09Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 83%30/09Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 80%19/10
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.6%Ahead 3/4
6
6
OR 54
5/1
Beach Partee silks

Amphitheatre Racing Limited

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Lope Y Fernandez - Parsnip (Zebedee)

J P Sullivan60%S Dixon60%
428334
5.0Class ↓5
Visor

Won 3 times as a juvenile. Yet to score as a 3-y-o but arrives on the back of a trio of creditable efforts, latterly at Southwell 2 days ago. Should remain competitive.

Class Advantage

15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par15/075/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par17/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%15/07Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 30%13/08Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%1/09Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 73%17/09
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.0%Ahead 3/4
9
5
OR 45
14/1
Yaahobby silks

Mr Antony Brittain

7yo Gelding · 8-9

Kodiac - Nations Alexander (Dark Angel)

Ethan Tindall60%0/1−5lbA Brittain
736649
3.0
Tongue strap

Newcastle regular who's on a long losing run but probably needed the run after 6 months off when ninth of 13 here 16 days ago.

Class Advantage

20/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/01 · mark par20/014/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/02 · mark par10/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/02 · mark par19/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/02 · mark par6/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/03 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%20/01Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 44%10/02Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%6/03Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%3/09
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.2%Ahead 1/4
8
8
OR 52
14/1
Heathers Feather silks

Mr S Rain

3yo Gelding · 8-13

Space Blues - Spring Mist (Dansili)

Rowan Scott60%Miss Tracy Waggott60%
646875
3.0
Cheek pieces

Made more impact than previously in first-time cheekpieces when fifth of 9 in handicap at this course (5f) 17 days ago, despite seeming unsuited by drop in trip. Step back up to 6f in his favour and not ruled out if building on that run.

Class Advantage

13/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/0420/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par19/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 29%13/04Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 50%26/06Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%19/08Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%2/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.3%Ahead 4/4
7
7
OR 51
25/1
Maui Breeze silks

H S Hutchinson And W Glass

4yo Filly · 9-0

Bated Breath - Hula Girl (Oasis Dream)

Greg Fairley70%W Storey80%
770590
2.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Still looking for a first handicap success and was already on the retreat when suffering interference at Catterick (7f, good) 11 days ago. Tongue strap on for 1st time.

Class Advantage

4/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/02 · mark par4/0220/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par14/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par21/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par4/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%4/02Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 16 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 12%14/06Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%4/07Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%8/09
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.1%Ahead 2/4
10
10
OR 45
33/1
Runninman silks

Mr D Telford

3yo Gelding · 8-7

Mehmas - Merry Jaunt (Street Sense)

Aiden Brookes0/2D W Whillans60%
740650
2.0
Blinkers

Poor maiden who was too free when last of 11 in 6f handicap at Carlisle (good to soft, 50/1) 10 days ago. Others more appealing.

Class Advantage

11/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/03 · mark par11/0319/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/03 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par19/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%11/03Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 8%31/07Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 67%26/08Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%9/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.9%Ahead 3/4
5
9
OR 55
25/1
Woodhay Whisper silks

Mr R E Barr

4yo Filly · 9-4

Coulsty - Eglantyne Dream (Oasis Dream)

Oliver Carmichael−7lbR E Barr
749757
3.0
Hood

Hasn't fired in 3 starts for current yard.

Class Advantage

3/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/03 · mark par3/0313/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/03 · mark par28/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par5/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par22/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%3/03Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 20%28/03Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%22/06Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%22/07
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.8%Ahead 1/4