13:00 · Chester

Vault Money EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f 17yGoing TBCClass 42YO onlyTURF8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 82
15/8
Impulsive Spirit silks

Mr Nick Shutts

2yo Filly · 9-9

Ten Sovereigns - Nuclear Option (Frozen Power)

J F EganP D Evans60%
18
6.0Class ↓3

Ten Sovereigns filly who cost plenty at the breeze-ups for one from this yard and made a successful debut in 8-runner maiden at Chepstow (5f, good) last month. Wasn't up to the Group 3 Dick Poole 2 weeks ago but this is a much more suitable assignment.

Class Advantage

18/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/083/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength30%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%18/08Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 30%3/09
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +51.8%Ahead 2/2
7
2
OR 71
10/3
Rhodes Runner silks

Nick Bradley Racing 28

2yo Filly · 9-2

Minzaal - Sunniyra (Zoffany)

Jason Watson70%R M Beckett60%
324642
5.0

Fair maiden at up to 7f who put a trio of lesser efforts behind her back at 5f when second at Wolverhampton 12 days ago, running on. Pretty exposed now but a repeat of that will see her bang there.

Class Advantage

6/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/062/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par23/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par8/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%6/06Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 86%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 25%23/07Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%27/08Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.5%Ahead 1/4
4
4
4/1
Mollisha silks

Nick Bradley Racing 17 and Partner

2yo Filly · 9-2

Sands Of Mali - Catadalya (One Cool Cat)

Joanna MasonB Ellison
3
5.0

Encouraging third of 14 in novice at Newcastle (6f) on debut 56 days ago, running on. Mixed messages from that form but she can be a factor if building on that.

Class Advantage

25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/07
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 85%25/07
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +68.8%Ahead 1/1
2
3
OR 76
2/1
Havana Flash silks

Ed Babington & George Boughey

2yo Filly · 9-2

Havana Grey - Fort Del Oro (Lope De Vega)

P Cosgrave60%G Boughey60%
827
5.0Class ↓3
1st Tongue Strap +2

Left debut form well behind dropped in grade when second of 6 in 5f novice at Lingfield (good to firm) in June. Didn't look up to listed company a month later but this is easier back over 6f with a tongue tie fitted.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/0627/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/063/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength73%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 42%5/06Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%27/06Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 14%3/07
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.3%Ahead 1/3
5
5
66/1
Novah silks

D Caslin P Wilcock M Cantillon & Partn

2yo Filly · 9-2

Invincible Spirit - Augmentarium (New Bay)

O McSweeneyN Tinkler
84
4.0

Foaled March 2. Invincible Spirit filly. Dam, 2-y-o 7f winner who stayed 1¼m, half-sister to useful 14.2f winner (stays 17f) Eagle Fang out of useful 11f winner Scatina. Bred for longer trips and looks a longer-term project.

Class Advantage

14/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/084/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 30%14/08Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%4/09
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.0%Ahead 1/2
8
8
OR 38
200/1
Trust In Far silks

Mr Simon Boucher

2yo Filly · 9-2

Blackbeard - Irishstone (Danehill Dancer)

Myla Coppins60%−5lbG Hanmer
907608
2.0

Has no form in 6 starts to date.

Class Advantage

22/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/0530/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a12/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par30/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par17/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%22/05Pos 11 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 7 · SP 400/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 400/1 | Actual: 25%12/06Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 10 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%30/07Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 30%17/08
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.9%Ahead 3/4
3
6
OR 49
100/1
Independent Roze silks

Mr Ian Furlong

2yo Filly · 9-2

Bangkok - Granny Roz (Bahamian Bounty)

Jack Doughty60%L Williamson
559
2.0

Offered little in a trio of 6f novice/maidens. Well drawn but unlikely to be good enough to make any use of it.

Class Advantage

24/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/062/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/089/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a9/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%24/06Pos 5 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%2/08Pos 9 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 0%9/08
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/3
6
7
33/1
Red Ashley silks

E H Jones (Paints) Ltd

2yo Filly · 9-2

Dream Ahead - Gemini Glory (Tale Of Ekati)

S C Cronin60%L Williamson
No form3.0Going 8.0

Foaled March 14. Dream Ahead filly. Half-sister to 5f-6f winner Red Walls. Dam unraced half-sister to smart US 2-y-o 7f winner, third in Kentucky Derby/Preakness Stakes.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish8th of 80% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%