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15:20 · Newmarket

Turners Cesarewitch Trial Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

2m 2fGoing TBCClass 33YO plusTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 89
2/1
Gooloogong silks

Mark & Lavinia Sherwood

Gooloogong

6yo Gelding · 9-12

Australia - Muwakaba (Elusive Quality)

Benoit D L Sayette1/1George Baker60%
314631
7.0Class ↓3

Back in fine form this year and emphatically landed a gamble in 9-runner handicap at Goodwood (1¾m, heavy) 3 weeks ago. Hiked up 11 lb here but still respected over this longer trip.

Class Advantage

10/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/04 · mark par10/044/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par27/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par8/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par31/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 30%10/04Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 70%27/05Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 3 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 86%31/07Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%29/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.8%Ahead 2/4
1
2
OR 93
3/1
In The Breeze silks

J & A Young (Racing) Limited

In The Breeze

8yo Gelding · 10-2

Harzand - Its In The Air (Whipper)

Billy Loughnane80%Miss H C Knight60%
710102
6.0

Notched a second win of 2026 at Goodwood (2m) in June and posted another good effort when a clear second of 10 in handicap at Haydock (1¾m, soft) 2 weeks ago. Big shout nudged up 1 lb with this longer trip also a likely plus.

Class Advantage

20/11 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/11 · mark par20/1110/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par9/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par7/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par19/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%20/11Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 23%9/05Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 20%19/08Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 89%5/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.0%Ahead 4/4
4
5
OR 84
13/2
Percy Shelley silks

Johnstone Partnership

Percy Shelley

7yo Gelding · 9-7

Sir Percy - She's Gorgeous (Acclamation)

Callum Shepherd70%0/1James Owen
224624
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Scored over hurdles for this yard last autumn but his only wins on the Flat came in France in 2022. Posted creditable efforts when in the frame over 2m here and York last 2 runs but suspicion is he may find the odd one too strong again.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par2/0524/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/05 · mark par13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par18/07 · C3 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par6/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par6/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 2f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%2/05Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 6 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 6 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 38%13/06Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%6/08Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 73%6/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.8%Ahead 2/4
3
3
OR 89
10/1
Squire Danagher silks

Owners Group 143

Squire Danagher

6yo Gelding · 9-12

Australia - Sunday Bess (Deep Impact)

H Crouch60%Miss E C Lavelle70%
571119
5.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Failed to go on over hurdles for Ben Pauling last year but resumed winning ways for new yard back in this sphere at Sandown (1¾m, good) in June. Came in last of 9 at Goodwood (2m, good to soft) since, though, so has a bit to prove in refitted cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

11/10 · C9 · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par11/106/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par30/08 · C3 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 2f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%11/10Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 30%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 88%7/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 100%13/06Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%30/08
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.1%Ahead 2/4
5
4
OR 78
8/1
Appier silks

Mr D Allen

Appier

7yo Gelding · 9-1

Holy Roman Emperor - Dame Lucy (Refuse To Bend)

David Probert70%0/1A W Carroll60%
306134
5.0Going 8.0
Hood

Made a winning start for Tony Carroll at Goodwood (1¾m, heavy) in June and not disgraced when in the frame over the same trip at Sandown and back at Goodwood since. Should give another good account back up in distance in a refitted hood.

Class Advantage

26/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par26/033/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par2/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 33%26/03Pos 13 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 13 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%2/05Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%24/07Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 63%29/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.4%Ahead 1/4
7
6
OR 73
5/1
Rogue Empire silks

The Idle B'S

Rogue Empire

4yo Gelding · 8-11

Time Test - Magic Meg (Raven's Pass)

Owen Lewis60%2/4−5lbR A Teal60%
311193
5.0

Completed a hat-trick at Lingfield (2m) in early summer and posted another solid effort when third of 8 in handicap at Kempton (2m) 15 days ago. Not out of things.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par4/0518/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par10/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par18/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 71%4/05Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%10/06Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 33%24/07Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 71%4/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.4%Ahead 3/4
6
7
OR 75
14/1
Premiere Ligne silks

Caveat Emptor Partnership

Premiere Ligne

7yo Gelding · 8-12

Lope De Vega - Realism (First Defence)

Harry Davies1/2H Morrison80%
096765
3.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

A fairly useful winner in 2024. Off 20 months and yet to match that form this season, again not seeing his race out when fifth of 9 in handicap at Goodwood (2m, good to soft) 20 days ago. Cheekpieces are retried now.

Class Advantage

12/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/10 · mark par12/1027/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par27/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par10/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par30/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 2f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 16 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 16 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 35%12/10Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 29%12/06Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 68%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 55%10/08Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%30/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +43.8%Ahead 4/4