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14:10 · Chester

Destination2 Selling Stakes

1m 2f 70yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURF11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
10
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 80
9/2
Patagonia Girl silks

Mr D R Passant & Mr E Spragg

Patagonia Girl

4yo Filly · 9-2

Australia - Katiesheidinlisa (Camelot)

Jason Watson70%H Palmer60%
175847
4.0Class ↓3

Twice a course winner and confirmed reappearance promise when making all over an extended 1½m here at the May meeting. Has looked exposed since but now drops markedly in grade and can find this a lot easier.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par8/0530/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par27/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par10/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par2/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par21/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 70y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%8/05Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 43%27/06Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%2/08Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 54%21/08
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.7%Ahead 1/4
2
2
OR 88
6/1
Let's Dream silks

Mrs I Corbani

Let's Dream

5yo Gelding · 9-12

Territories - Shiba (Rail Link)

Ashley Lewis60%M L W Bell80%
110700
3.0

Twice a winner over C&D, most recently in May but has gone the wrong way since. Interesting on these terms dropped to selling company if bouncing back to form with good-value claimer taking over.

Class Advantage

11/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par11/107/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par5/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par10/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par6/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par6/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 70y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%11/10Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 14 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 13%5/06Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 18%6/08Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 7%6/09
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.9%Ahead 2/4
5
5
OR 76
13/2
Reds And Wolves silks

Mr Matt Batters

Reds And Wolves

4yo Gelding · 9-10

Sands Of Mali - Indy Gal (Intikhab)

Mason PaetelH Palmer60%
55441
5.0
Tongue strap

Improved for a positive ride when winning handicap over 9f at Wolverhampton (11/8F) in July, looking better the further he went. Drops into a seller here but is by far the least exposed and looks likely to be suited by this trip so he could prove very hard to peg back from stall 2.

Class Advantage

7/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a7/0419/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 70y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%7/04Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 64%19/04Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 63%30/05Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%18/06Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%7/07
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.6%Ahead 4/4
6
7
OR 80
11/2
Spirit Genie silks

Mrs Ros Marriott

Spirit Genie

6yo Gelding · 9-10

Invincible Spirit - Prima Luce (Galileo)

William Pyle70%0/1J Candlish80%
378015
4.0Class ↓3
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Capitalised on a drop in grade when winning a handicap at Pontefract over 1m in August. Shaped as if still in form when fifth of 17 upped to this trip at Doncaster 8 days ago but didn't fully see the trip out, so stamina is the main concern with him back on softer ground here.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par20/0915/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par27/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par5/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par11/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 70y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 71%20/09Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 30%12/06Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%5/08Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 75%11/09
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.9%Ahead 3/4
9
3
OR 79
5/1
Dunkeld Dreamer silks

Nick Bradley Racing 5 & E Burke

Dunkeld Dreamer

3yo Filly · 9-2

Coulsty - Starlight Dance (Sea The Stars)

D C CostelloK R Burke70%
414037
4.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Consistent sort who suggested she was still in form before failing for stamina when seventh in a handicap over 2m here 7 days ago in first-time cheekpieces. Back down in trip and grade and well berthed so she looks a player on these terms.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par31/0513/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par21/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par30/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par12/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 70y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%31/05Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 25%11/07Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 60%30/08Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%12/09
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.1%Ahead 2/4
1
4
OR 75
16/1
Eupator silks

Middleham Park Racing I and Partner

Eupator

4yo Gelding · 9-12

Persian King - Aurora Gold (Frankel)

S C Cronin60%R Hannon80%
425636
4.0
Cheek pieces

Made all twice at Wolverhampton in January. Rare poor effort when last of 6 at Salisbury in August in first-time cheekpieces and now drops to a seller with plenty to find on these terms.

Class Advantage

27/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par27/0430/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par13/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par12/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below12/08 · mark par12/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 70y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 40%27/04Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%12/06Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%13/07Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%12/08
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.6%Ahead 2/4
11
6
OR 72
10/1
Mayaada silks

Nick Bradley Racing 15 & Partner

Mayaada

3yo Filly · 9-0

Phoenix Of Spain - Young Special (Fastnet Rock)

Joanna MasonOllie Sangster
042448
4.0Going 8.0

Coped with heavy going when fourth of 8 over 1½m at Beverley last month and is best excused recent eighth of 10 in a handicap over 8.5f at Epsom 9 days ago when poorly placed. Back up in trip and down in grade here but may find a couple too good.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par30/0513/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par27/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 70y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 10 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%30/05Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 63%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%27/06Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%29/08Pos 8 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 8 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 22%10/09
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.3%Ahead 2/4
3
9
OR 81
13/2
Epictetus silks

Jamie Osborne & Partner

Epictetus

6yo Gelding · 9-10

Kingman - Thistle Bird (Selkirk)

Edward Greatrex60%J A Osborne
523160
4.0Class ↓4
Tongue strap

Won over this trip at Sandown in August, belatedly winning a first handicap, but struggled upped to 1½m at Epsom last time. This looks easier back in selling company but needs to bounce back.

Class Advantage

3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par3/0716/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par1/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par6/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par22/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 70y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 56%3/07Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%1/08Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 38%22/08Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 31%31/08
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.0%Ahead 2/4
8
8
OR 75
10/1
Ohara silks

Anthony Pye-jeary And David Ian

Ohara

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Iffraaj - Magique (Jeremy)

P J McDonald60%Eve Johnson Houghton80%
982074
4.0

Heavy ground winner who gave running when fourth of 6 in a seller over 11f at Goodwood 20 days ago. Well drawn so could take a hand if coping with the drop back in trip.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par11/0512/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par3/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par8/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par30/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 70y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 27%11/05Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%3/07Pos 15 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 15 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%8/08Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%30/08
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.6%Ahead 1/4
4
10
OR 68
25/1
Oman silks

Mr A W Carroll

Oman

8yo Gelding · 9-10

Australia - Awohaam (Iffraaj)

Myla Coppins60%1/3−5lbA W Carroll60%
147965
3.0
Cheek pieces

Twice a course winner but not fired here last 2 starts. Cheekpieces back on for this drop into a seller but he's got his work cut out given his draw and unfavourable terms.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/0612/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par2/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 70y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%5/06Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 70%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 14%27/06Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 38%2/08Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 60%11/09
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -27.2%Ahead 1/4
7
11
OR 73
20/1
Hamadhan silks

James Paul Services To Industry Ltd

Hamadhan

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Lope De Vega - Hamariyna (Sea The Moon)

Darragh Keenan0/2J Candlish70%
637530
3.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

No progress in 4 starts for this yard, including when tailed off following a gelding operation 15 days ago. Now drops to a seller with first-time tongue strap applied.

Class Advantage

23/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/0819/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par7/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par25/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par30/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 70y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 44%23/08Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%7/05Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%30/05Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 18%4/09
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.5%Ahead 2/4