15:25 · Gowran Park

SIS Maiden

1m 1f 100yGoing TBC3YO plusTURF12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
12
2
OR 67
11/4
Sherekiya silks

Exors of the Late H H Aga Khan

3yo Filly · 9-3

Camelot - Shehreen (Iffraaj)

Chris Hayes60%0/6D K Weld
754738
4.0Class ↓1

Hails from a quality Aga Khan family. Shaped well when close third of 13 in 1m handicap at the Curragh (good) last month. Not in the same form on softer ground at Cork since but might be worth another chance back in a maiden.

Class Advantage

17/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/0720/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par16/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par9/09 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%17/07Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 57%6/10Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 83%16/08Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 59%9/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.5%Ahead 2/4
9
Top Pick1
OR 67
3/1
Suir Monad silks

Ms M Flanagan

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Dark Angel - Zucchini Flower (Flower Alley)

Andrew Slattery60%0/3A Slattery
4434
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Fair form when reaching the frame on all 4 starts, most recently a handicap over 8.5f at Galway. The way he stuck to his task on that occasion suggests this longer trip may be within range.

Class Advantage

10/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/129/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/041/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/088/09 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 75%10/12Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 67%9/04Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 82%1/08Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 77%8/09
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.7%Ahead 2/4
2
Market Fav3
OR 70
2/1
Big Cypress silks

Flaxman Stables Ireland Ltd

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Dubawi - That Which Is Not (Elusive Quality)

J M Sheridan60%0/1J P O'Brien
7435
4.0

In the frame in 7f maiden at Limerick and 1m maiden at Gowran this spring. Gelded since finishing fifth over 1¼m at Fairyhouse in June. Still time for him to come good for top stable.

Class Advantage

4/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/1025/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/0420/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/055/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par5/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%4/10Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%25/04Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%20/05Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%5/06
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.5%Ahead 2/4
6
7
OR 70
10/1
Ryefield Dasher silks

Seamus Kiernan

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Time Test - Malinka (Pivotal)

Nicola Burns0/4−5lbT Gibney
456053
5.0

Fair maiden. 12/1, good third of 15 in handicap at Roscommon (1½m, good to soft) 19 days ago. Back down in trip. Likely to be on the premises.

Class Advantage

16/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/102/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/06 · C8 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par28/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par27/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par31/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 80%16/10Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 79%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 17%4/06Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%27/07Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 86%31/08
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.8%Ahead 3/4
4
4
OR 70
25/1
Colpe Cross silks

Colpe Cross Partnership

5yo Mare · 9-8

Le Havre - New Winds (New Approach)

Seamie Heffernan0/3N Lupini
5240
4.0

Showed fair form in a trio of maidens at up to 1½m last summer. Off 13 months, shaped as if better for run when tenth of 18 in 1m Navan maiden 14 days ago. Big player if back to last year's form.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/051/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/071/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/085/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%30/05Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 91%1/07Pos 4 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 4 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 67%1/08Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 47%5/09
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.4%Ahead 2/4
3
12
100/1
Brigerbad silks

Michael O'Dea

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Far Above - Oneoveryou (Tagula)

Siobhan Rutledge0/1R O'Sullivan
08
2.0

Well beaten in maidens. Up in trip. Outsider.

Class Advantage

24/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/0725/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%24/07Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 50%25/08
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.0%Ahead 1/2
1
8
16/1
Scorcher's Son silks

E S Racing

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Too Darn Hot - Sellsabeel (Galileo)

Declan McDonogh60%0/3J P O'Brien
766
3.0

450,000 gns Too Darn Hot gelding from excellent family. Ran to similar level as on debut when 10 lengths sixth of 21 in Navan maiden (1¼m, good) 14 days ago. May not show his true potential until handicapping. Engaged 8.30 Dundalk Friday.

Class Advantage

20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/085/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/0918/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%20/08Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%5/09Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%18/09
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.9%Ahead 2/3
7
11
200/1
Steppinoncats silks

Caroline Galvin

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Wings Of Eagles - Night Club (Mozart)

Luke McAteer0/1Rory Devine
00
2.0

From a useful family but no promise in 2 recent outings.

Class Advantage

15/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/085/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 15%15/08Pos 10 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 55%5/09
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.2%Ahead 2/2
5
6
OR 62
33/1
Rocket Robyn silks

Noel R Walsh

4yo Filly · 9-8

Harry Angel - Glee Club (Kyllachy)

Paddy Harnett60%0/4M Hassett
806929
4.0Class ↓2
Tongue strap

Fair maiden. Bit below form ninth of 18 in handicap (18/1) at Cork (1½m, good to soft) 20 days ago. Back down in trip.

Class Advantage

15/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/03 · mark par15/038/04 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par11/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par27/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par12/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par30/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 30%15/03Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 58%11/06Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 80%12/07Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 53%30/08
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +38.8%Ahead 4/4
10
5
OR 69
12/1
Express Choise silks

Carl Anthony Howell & Mrs Pauline Condon

3yo Filly · 9-3

Lucky Vega - Expressionism (Galileo)

Billy Lee60%K J Condon
65
3.0
Tongue strap

Twice-raced filly. Stepped up on debut when fifth of 6 in maiden at Tramore (1½m, good to soft) 35 days ago. Down in trip. Won't need to raise her game too much.

Class Advantage

11/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/0715/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 38%11/07Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%15/08
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.3%Ahead 1/2
11
10
25/1
Jolie Cailin silks

T Flaherty

3yo Filly · 9-3

Coulsty - Amaany (Teofilo)

Donagh O'Connor60%0/2R O'Sullivan
50
2.0

Showed ability on her debut at Gowran (1m) in May but well beaten at Navan 108 days later.

Class Advantage

20/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/055/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%20/05Pos 12 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 35%5/09
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.5%Ahead 2/2
8
9
OR 68
16/1
Storzando silks

Derek Iceton

3yo Gelding · 9-8

River Boyne - Cloche (Helmet)

Wesley Joyce60%0/4M Mulvany
63708
2.0

Lightly-raced gelding. Ran to a decent level when third at Down Royal in July but hasn't come close to reproducing it in 3 subsequent outings.

Class Advantage

8/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/0717/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/08 · C8 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par2/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 100y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 64%8/07Pos 3 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 67%17/07Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 45%1/08Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 9%16/08Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 42%2/09
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.6%Ahead 3/4