14:45 · Newmarket

Turners Parks Group Ltd Handicap (Div 2)

6fGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 83
8/1
Sierra Sands silks

Stormtroopers

3yo Colt · 9-8

Sands Of Mali - Tickerdi (Lawman)

Callum Shepherd70%E A L Dunlop
031144
7.0Going 8.0

Won 6f/7f handicaps on July course here this summer. Posted a good fourth of 7 on his all-weather debut at Kempton (7f) 17 days ago. Needs considering eased 1 lb.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par2/0527/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par25/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par1/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par2/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 10%2/05Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%25/06Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%1/08Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%2/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.4%Ahead 2/4
1
Market Fav3
OR 88
15/8
Old Is Gold silks

Wathnan Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-13

Mehmas - Lyons Lane (Showcasing)

Billy Loughnane80%A M Balding70%
306051
6.0Class ↓3
Visor

Back on the up since the visor went on and made all in 7-runner handicap at Goodwood (6f, heavy) 11 days ago, closed down only late on having been well clear 2f out. Expected to be bang there despite 5 lb rise.

Class Advantage

1/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par1/0820/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par24/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par30/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par19/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par8/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%1/08Pos 12 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 12 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 39%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 38%24/04Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 78%19/08Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%8/09
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.8%Ahead 2/4
2
4
OR 85
4/1
Quantum Power silks

Moulton Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Supremacy - Little Bubbles (The Last Lion)

Molly Keegan-Price60%0/3−7lbTom Clover60%
341119
7.0Going 8.0
Visor

Completed a hat-trick in 5f handicap on July course here this summer. Not at his best when ninth of 18 in handicap at Goodwood (5f, good to firm) 30 days ago. The sort to bounce back.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par15/052/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par4/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par30/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 71%15/05Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%20/06Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%4/07Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 53%30/07
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.0%Ahead 4/4
9
2
OR 70
12/1
Akabusi silks

Mr Jim Gill

3yo Gelding · 8-9

Mohaather - Today's The Day (Alhaarth)

Grace McEntee60%0/1M Fenton
484083
5.0

Scored over C&D in May for Mike Murphy. Back to form for his new yard with third of 12 in handicap at Yarmouth (6f, good) 3 days ago. Can make his presence felt again.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par23/0515/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par7/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par16/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 77%23/05Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 63%29/06Pos 11 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 11 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 22%7/08Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 82%16/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.5%Ahead 3/4
6
5
OR 79
7/2
Saucy Jane silks

Nick Bradley Racing 16 And Jmr Partner

3yo Filly · 9-4

Lope Y Fernandez - Sea Horn (Fastnet Rock)

Harry Vigors60%−5lbJack Morland60%
426161
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Isn't easy to catch right but readily made it 2 wins from her last 3 runs in 5-runner handicap at Windsor (6f, good to firm) last month. Hiked up 7 lb but well in the mix if on her A-game again.

Class Advantage

12/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par12/052/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par3/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par3/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 25%12/05Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%12/06Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%15/07Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%3/08
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.3%Ahead 3/4
7
6
OR 78
10/1
Kohana Nation silks

Mr D J M Rees

3yo Colt · 9-3

Sioux Nation - Peachy Princess (Cape Cross)

David Probert70%C Hills
7213
6.0

Made the most of a good opportunity when landing the odds in 4-runner novice at Doncaster (6f, good to firm) on his belated return but failed to back it up under more patient tactics when third of 6 on handicap bow at Salisbury (6f, good to soft) 29 days ago. Not written off after just 4 runs.

Class Advantage

1/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/1219/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/121/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a1/0821/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 45%1/12Pos 2 · SP 18/5 | Expected: 81%Pos 2 · SP 18/5 | Actual: 83%19/12Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 100%1/08Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 60%21/08
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.4%Ahead 3/4
4
7
OR 82
12/1
Alaminos silks

All The Ridings

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Pinatubo - Jumira Princess (Redoute's Choice)

H Crouch60%E Bethell
142704
4.0

A fair 6f maiden winner at 2yrs. Resumed with very good second in 6f Pontefract handicap in April but failed to build on that in 3 subsequent starts for Kevin Ryan. Starts out with another good yard here but more is required.

Class Advantage

15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a15/084/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par6/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par13/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par4/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%15/08Pos 4 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%21/04Pos 7 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 7 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 45%Pos 21 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 21 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 5%13/06Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 25%4/07
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.6%Ahead 1/4
5
9
OR 80
16/1
Waistcoat silks

Rb Racing Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 9-7

Sea The Stars - Swansdown (Dubawi)

J Mitchell60%1/4R Burdon
219016
5.0
Tongue strap

Doubled his tally for the year in 6f handicap at Newbury in July. Left poorly placed and with little racing room in the closing stages when sixth of 8 at Windsor (6f, good to firm) last time so not out of things.

Class Advantage

10/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/12 · mark par10/1211/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/01 · mark par21/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/01 · mark par9/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par17/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 91%10/12Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 20%21/01Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%23/07Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 29%17/08
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.0%Ahead 2/4
8
8
OR 78
66/1
Enricher silks

Mr C L A Edginton

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Profitable - Dreaming Moment (Pride Of Dubai)

Lewis Edmunds60%1/5W Muir & C Grassick80%
445109
3.0
1st Blinkers +3

Came good in 6f maiden at Wolverhampton last August, but down the field in handicap over same trip at Leicester in early summer following a 10-month absence and struggling long way out at Southwell last time. Blinkers go on for first time after another break.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/069/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a29/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par25/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par18/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par18/06projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%13/06Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 71%29/07Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 18%25/05Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%18/06
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.0%Ahead 3/4