15:07 · Newbury

Dubai Duty Free Cup Stakes (Listed) (Str)

7fGoing TBCClass 13YO plusTURF10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
Top Pick1
OR 93
10/1
All Moonshine silks

Miss K Rausing

4yo Filly · 8-13

Oasis Dream - Alla Luna (Sea The Moon)

Oisin Murphy70%1/1A M Balding60%
311101
7.0Going 8.0

Progressive Oasis Dream filly who enhanced a fine strike rate with ready success in 6-runner handicap over C&D (firm) in July. Absent since but she's likely capable of better still and shouldn't be underestimated in her bid for a fourth success of 2026.

Class Advantage

26/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a26/1128/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a12/01 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/01 · mark par11/02 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/02 · mark par17/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par18/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move3
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 78%26/11Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%12/01Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 15 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 15 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 39%17/06Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%18/07
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.4%Ahead 4/4
6
5
OR 100
8/1
Whip Cracker silks

Mr Abdulla Al Mansoori

5yo Gelding · 9-4

Cracksman - Wonderworld (Sea The Moon)

H Crouch60%1/2R Hughes70%
200321
7.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Useful gelding who resumed from 4 months off to end a long losing run in 13-runner handicap at Chester (7.5f, good) 27 days ago. This demands another step forward though.

Class Advantage

17/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/0910/10 · C2 · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par15/03 · C10 · finish vs mark below15/03 · mark par18/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par8/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move3
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 88%17/09Pos 13 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 13 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 11 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 11 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 58%15/03Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 90%8/05Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%22/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +38.2%Ahead 3/4
8
4
OR 107
10/3
Catullus silks

Godolphin

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Invincible Spirit - Communicate (Dubawi)

W Buick60%0/4C Appleby60%
427103
5.0Going 10.0

Smart gelding who doubled his tally with impressive 7f handicap win at Goodwood in May. Back on song when third of 7 in Thoroughbred Stakes there (1m, good to firm) in July. Not discounted for his in-form yard.

Class Advantage

25/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/09 · mark par25/092/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/01 · mark par6/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/02 · mark par23/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par20/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par31/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%25/09Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 92%Pos 7 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 7 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 50%6/02Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%20/06Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%31/07
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.8%Ahead 2/4
2
8
OR 104
7/1
Fondo Blanco silks

King Power Racing Co Ltd

4yo Gelding · 9-4

Ten Sovereigns - Farzeen (Farhh)

Ray Dawson1/7R Varian60%
140023
6.0Going 8.0

Ended last season (landed 1m Haydock handicap) in fine form. Back on the up in recent weeks when runner-up in 7f Goodwood handicap and third of 9 in Superior Mile at Haydock (1m, soft). A likely player again.

Class Advantage

27/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/09 · mark par27/0929/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above29/10 · mark par18/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par8/08 · C2 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par29/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par5/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%27/09Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 21 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 21 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 26%18/06Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 90%29/08Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 75%5/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.4%Ahead 3/4
5
Market Fav6
OR 108
11/4
Spy Chief silks

Godolphin

4yo Gelding · 9-4

Kingman - Shirocco Star (Shirocco)

R L Moore60%J & T Gosden60%
763820
4.0Class ↓1Going 8.0

Acquitted himself well several times in 2025 (second in Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot) and resumed with very good second in Salisbury 6f listed event, despite looking awkward under pressure. Poorly drawn when well held in Wokingham back at Royal Ascot only run since and must enter calculations.

Class Advantage

12/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par12/0716/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par19/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par18/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par23/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par20/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par20/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 54%12/07Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 44%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%19/09Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 61%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%23/05Pos 25 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 25 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 8%20/06
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.0%Ahead 2/4
1
7
OR 105
11/2
Elarak silks

Shadwell Estate Company Ltd

4yo Gelding · 9-4

Kingman - Tantheem (Teofilo)

David Probert70%1/2C Hills
144232
6.0Going 8.0

A 3-time winner in 2025. Yet to score this season but has progressed again, runner-up in Buckingham Palace at Royal Ascot (7f) in June and in 7-runner listed event at Newmarket (6f, good) last time. Holds very good form claims.

Class Advantage

27/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/09 · mark par27/0910/04 · C3 · finish vs mark below10/04 · mark par1/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par18/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par11/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par22/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%27/09Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 4 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 40%1/05Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 96%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 83%11/07Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%22/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.2%Ahead 3/4
10
Value2
OR 92
10/1
Leading Dancer silks

Teme Valley and Austin Whelan

3yo Filly · 8-10

Starman - Get Up And Dance (Makfi)

S M Levey70%K R Burke60%
311
9.0

Starman filly who looked a good prospect in 2025 when going 2-3 in listed race over C&D (heavy) in October. This is no easy ask after 10 months off but she remains with plenty of potential.

Class Advantage

12/09 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a12/0928/09 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a28/0925/10 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a25/10projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength18%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 78%12/09Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%28/09Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%25/10
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.7%Ahead 3/3
7
3
OR 101
20/1
Zoum Zoum silks

Mrs Lynn Turner & Mr Guy Brook

5yo Gelding · 9-4

Zoustar - Richenza (Holy Roman Emperor)

Rossa Ryan70%0/4R M Beckett80%
022957
4.0Class ↓1
Tongue strap

Smart gelding who was runner-up in 6f listed events at Doncaster and Southwell in November. Yet to hit top form in 3 runs this season, though not disgraced after a break when seventh of 10 in Prix de Meautry at Deauville (6f, soft) 19 days ago. No forlorn hope.

Class Advantage

5/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/10 · mark par5/108/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above8/11 · mark par28/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/11 · mark par23/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par27/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par30/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 33%5/10Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 92%28/11Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 11%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%27/06Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%30/08
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.7%Ahead 2/4
3
9
OR 106
16/1
Myal silks

Mr Ray Bailey

5yo Gelding · 9-4

Al Kazeem - Magic Destiny (Dubai Destination)

D Egan60%1/1Steph Hollinshead
251277
4.0Class ↓0

Useful gelding who bagged 7f Thirsk conditions event in April. Posted a very good second in Haydock listed race (7f) in May but not at his best both runs since, beating one in Park Stakes at Doncaster (7f, good) 6 days ago. Needs to bounce back.

Class Advantage

4/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par4/1028/03 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par10/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par9/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par11/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par12/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 88%4/10Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%10/04Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%11/07Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 14%12/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.0%Ahead 3/4
4
10
OR 106
25/1
Northern Champion silks

TBT Racing

3yo Colt · 9-4

Wootton Bassett - Zargos (Shamardal)

K Shoemark60%2/5E Walker
109108
3.0Class ↓1

Won a pair of conditions races at Meydan this winter and got his head back in front in 7f Chester listed race in July. Well below par in Stewards' Cup at Goodwood and Hungerford Stakes over C&D subsequently though.

Class Advantage

6/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/0228/03 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par19/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par11/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par1/08 · C2 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par15/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%6/02Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 62%19/06Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 22 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 22 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 19%1/08Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 13%15/08
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.0%Ahead 4/4