15:45 · Ayr

Zenith Ltd Building Partnerships That Last Handicap (Div 2)

1mGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 65
7/2
Starliner silks

Mr David Orr & Miss L A Perratt

5yo Gelding · 9-10

Showcasing - Dawning (War Chant)

Mark Winn60%Miss L A Perratt60%
262218
6.0Class ↓2
Cheek pieces

Runner-up 4 of 5 starts (including twice here) prior to winning 1m all-weather handicap at Newcastle latest, beating Second Fiddle (entered here on Thursday) by ½-length. Should remain competitive back up in grade off 3 lb higher. Engaged 4.00 Ayr Thursday.

Class Advantage

20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par20/071/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par5/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par17/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 88%20/07Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 91%15/08Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%5/09Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 42%17/09
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.7%Ahead 3/4
2
3
OR 68
15/2
Up The Jazz silks

The Musley Bank Partnership & Partner

5yo Gelding · 9-13

Buratino - Gwyllion (Red Ransom)

Warren Fentiman60%2/5R A Fahey60%
612752
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Snapped a long losing run at Musselburgh (1m, good to firm) in June. Might have gone close to doubling his tally for the year if asked for his effort sooner last time, finishing 4 lengths second in an amateur riders handicap at Carlisle (9f). Makes appeal off the same mark here.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par18/0522/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 55%18/05Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 88%6/07Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%14/08Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 86%27/08
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.8%Ahead 3/4
8
5
OR 62
10/1
Ice Cube silks

Phil Cunningham

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Phoenix Of Spain - Princess Gold (Style Vendome)

Saffie Osborne70%1/3R Spencer
656141
8.0Class ↓3

Free-going sort. Built on previous promise when off the mark in 8-runner Epsom handicap (7f) in July. Looked ready for another crack at 1m when beaten 2 lengths over the same C&D subsequently. Respected sent north by the in-form Richard Spencer yard. Engaged 4.30 Ayr Thursday.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/0625/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par17/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 38%5/06Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%10/07Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 63%14/08Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%17/09
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.5%Ahead 3/4
11
7
OR 49
15/2
Little Ted silks

Mr M J Macleod

9yo Gelding · 8-9

Cityscape - Speedy Utmost Meg (Medicean)

D Allan60%1/16T D Easterby
722642
6.0
Hood

Quirky sort who snatched defeat from the jaws of victory at Leicester earlier this summer (hit 1.01 on Betfair Exchange). Added another runner-up finish to his CV in Ripon classified event latest. May again have to settle for minor honours back in handicap company.

Class Advantage

16/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par16/0625/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 14%16/06Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 88%4/07Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 75%15/08Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 89%31/08
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.0%Ahead 2/4
3
6
OR 69
5/1
Filly Eilish silks

Ontoawinner & Partner

3yo Filly · 9-10

Phoenix Of Spain - Billie Eria (Tamayuz)

Jason Hart60%I Furtado70%
266155
4.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Low-mileage filly. Much improved when beating a subsequent winner to open her account at Southwell in late-July. Hasn't been seen to best effect either outing there since. Still relatively unexposed with tongue strap added for first handicap start on turf and looks the percentage call.

Class Advantage

13/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/0321/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%13/03Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 38%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%5/06Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%6/08Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 56%31/08
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.0%Ahead 2/4
9
Value2
OR 56
14/1
Penelope's Sister silks

The Market Traders

6yo Mare · 9-1

War Command - Lenoire (Galileo)

Rhys Elliott60%0/1−5lbJ S Goldie
435672
6.0Class ↓2

Three-time C&D winner who often starts slowly. Made little impression in a selling handicap at Musselburgh last week. Doesn't look in same form as when winning a division of this corresponding event (off much higher mark) 12 months ago. Engaged 4.00 Ayr Thursday.

Class Advantage

6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/0727/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par12/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par17/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%6/07Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 64%10/08Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%12/09Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 92%17/09
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.5%Ahead 1/4
10
4
OR 55
12/1
Yaaser silks

Mr David Smith & Jim Goldie

8yo Gelding · 9-0

Lope De Vega - Urjuwaan (Cape Cross)

Lauren Young60%0/11−5lbJ S Goldie
533848
4.0Class ↓3

Finished close third in better race at Hamilton last month. Typically put himself on the back foot at the start when well held on a rare start in a 0-60 at Hamilton latest. Very capable off this sort of mark, provided he gets away reasonably.

Class Advantage

9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par9/0720/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 56%9/07Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 78%1/08Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 73%10/08Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 22%2/09
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.3%Ahead 1/4
1
8
OR 68
9/2
Sanafi Zabeel silks

Johnnie Delta Racing

5yo Gelding · 9-13

Intello - Full Rose (Aqlaam)

P Mulrennan60%2/5J S Goldie
345130
5.0Going 8.0

Landed second all-the-way Hamilton win of a productive first season with Jim Goldie last month. Still in good heart when 4 lengths third at Catterick since, though remains on a career-high mark. Engaged 3.30 Ayr Thursday.

Class Advantage

16/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par16/071/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par11/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par17/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%16/07Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 64%8/08Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 71%27/08Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%17/09
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.3%Ahead 2/4
6
9
OR 61
12/1
Perfidia silks

MR S BULMER & PARTNER

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Dandy Man - Final Treat (Acclamation)

Jake Dickson60%2/7−5lbT D Easterby60%
227309
3.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Notched a second win of the season when making all at Nottingham in June. Hit and miss since, beaten just under 7 lengths at Redcar last time. Back up in grade here, too. Engaged 3.30 Ayr Thursday.

Class Advantage

30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par30/0618/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par28/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par17/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%30/06Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 14%28/07Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%9/09Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 27%17/09
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.6%Ahead 2/4
7
11
OR 60
25/1
Peaceful Spirit silks

Foxhounds Racing

4yo Filly · 9-5

Phoenix Of Spain - Tranquil Spirit (Invincible Spirit)

Alistair Rawlinson0/1L A Mullaney70%
6460
3.0Class ↓2
1st Tongue Strap +2

Sold out of the Karl Burke yard for only 2,000 gns following her fourth in an ordinary all-weather maiden. Offered little in 2 starts for current trainer, latterly on handicap debut at Southwell. Plenty to prove returning to turf in first-time tongue strap.

Class Advantage

9/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/084/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/0416/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/0831/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 44%9/08Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%4/04Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 38%16/08Pos 13 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 8%31/08
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.4%Ahead 3/4
5
10
OR 67
14/1
Stoic Poet silks

Mr Dave Stone

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Far Above - Wine And Roses (Cappella Sansevero)

K Stott70%0/1I Jardine60%
584279
4.0Class ↓2

Best effort since finishing third in a course maiden when runner-up in 7f Haydock handicap (soft) in May. Has Kevin Stott aboard for first time since and possibly didn't take to application of first-time hood on first start against his elders here last time.

Class Advantage

12/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par12/0827/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/09 · mark par1/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par21/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 33%12/08Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%1/05Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%5/06Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 27%8/08
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.5%Ahead 3/4