8
Lattam
7yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 89
Ayr · Ladbrokes 'Bet 5 Get 30 New Customer Offer' Handicap · 1m
#14
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-01 | Goodwood | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Doncaster | 2 | 19th | 19th | 0 |
| 2024-10-19 | Ascot | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-06-27 | Newcastle | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-04-20 | Newbury | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-03-23 | Doncaster | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 2-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2023 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 13/10/2023 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.13 |
| 21/10/2023 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 68% | +0.32 |
| 23/03/2024 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 95% | +0.79 |
| 20/04/2024 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 65% | +0.23 |
| 27/06/2024 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 64% | -0.07 |
| 19/10/2024 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 95% | +0.89 |
| 29/03/2025 | 19th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 01/08/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |