3
Pure Legend
4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 94
Ayr · Ladbrokes 'Bet 5 Get 30 New Customer Offer' Handicap · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | York | 2 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Thirsk | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Deauville | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-08 | Deauville | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength56%
Delivery trend +9.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 28/08/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 70% | -0.14 |
| 11/10/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 21/11/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 08/01/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 06/02/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 22/08/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |