
That's Amore
4yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 88
Ayr · Ladbrokes 'Bet 5 Get 30 New Customer Offer' Handicap · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Limerick | 1 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Nottingham | 1 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-04 | Southwell | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-05-07 | Chester | 1 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2024-10-26 | Newbury | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2024 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 07/05/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 04/03/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 19/06/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |