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5

High Stock

4yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 105

Ayr · Ladbrokes 'Get Racing Bet Builder Winnings Boosts' Doonside Cup Stakes (Listed) · 1m 2f

#7

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Rapidly developed into a smart performer as a 3-y-o. Returned with a couple of respectable efforts in the spring and enters calculations back from 4 months off for last year's winning stable.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.7
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newmarket 16/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m Gd 13316/0421 @ Chester 08/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m2f70y Gd 1288/0511 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 107 · 1m1f212y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/06/2025 · OR 107 par19/061OR 1071 @ Goodwood 24/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 107 · 1m1f197y Goo 125 · beat its mark24/09/2025 · OR 107 par24/091OR 1071 @ Kempton 03/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 107 · 1m3f219y Sta 128 · beat its mark03/11/2025 · OR 107 par3/111OR 1071 @ Chester 08/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 105 · 1m2f70y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 105 par8/051OR 1051 @ Goodwood 22/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 105 · 1m1f197y Goo 129 · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 105 par22/051OR 105projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-22Goodwood15th5th0
2026-05-08Chester17th7th+0
2025-11-03Kempton14th4th0
2025-09-24Goodwood14th4th0
2025-06-19Royal Ascot112th12th+0
2025-05-08Chester12nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0424/0922/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength96%

Delivery trend +3.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
08/05/20252nd11/486%83%-0.02
19/06/202512th11/142%0%-0.42
24/09/20254th11/142%70%+0.28
03/11/20254th10/382%40%-0.42
08/05/20267th25/10%25%+0.25
22/05/20265th18/15%50%+0.45