20
Another Baar
6yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 88
Ayr · Ladbrokes Ayr Silver Cup Handicap · 6f
#18
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#18
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 11.2 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | York | 2 | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Hamilton | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newcastle | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Ripon | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Bahrain | ? | 17th | 17th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish20th of 2521% of fieldRange 10-25 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 20th of 25. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 29/01/2026 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 35% | -0.07 |
| 19/02/2026 | 17th | 16/1 | 16% | 6% | -0.10 |
| 06/06/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 26/06/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 01/08/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 19/08/2026 | 17th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |