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18

Eternal Sunshine

6yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 84

Ayr · Ladbrokes Ayr Silver Cup Handicap · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

73%

Place Prob

35%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D scorer who resumed winning ways at Hamilton (6f) in August. Only eighteenth of 21 in Portland at Doncaster (5.5f, good) 7 days ago but third in Bronze Cup here 12 months ago so no surprise to see her get back in the mix.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Thirsk 31/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 85 · 6f Goo 121 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 85 par31/052OR 852 @ York 12/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 85 · 6f Gd 135 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 85 par4 @ Ayr 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 82 · 6f Sft 144 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 82 par20/064OR 824 @ Doncaster 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 82 · 5f3y GF 142 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ York 10/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 82 · 5f Goo 137 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 82 par10/074OR 822 @ York 25/07/2026 · Pos 16th of 21 · OR 83 · 6f Goo 121 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 83 par2 @ Hamilton 01/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 82 · 5f7y Gd 125 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 82 par1/082OR 823 @ Hamilton 21/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 84 · 5f7y GS 134 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 84 par2 @ Doncaster 12/09/2026 · Pos 18th of 21 · OR 88 · 5f143y Gd 123 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 88 par12/092OR 88projClass-projected finish: 12th of 25
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Doncaster218th18th0
2026-08-21Hamilton31st2nd−1
2026-08-01Hamilton22nd2nd0
2026-07-25York216th16th0
2026-07-10York46th8th−2
2026-07-03Doncaster42nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/053/071/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 2583% of fieldRange 11-25 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength29%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 25. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/05/202610th10/147%31%-0.17
12/06/20269th14/126%27%+0.01
20/06/20264th10/382%77%-0.06
03/07/20262nd10/382%86%+0.03
10/07/20266th10/382%55%-0.28
25/07/202616th22/10%25%+0.25
01/08/20262nd9/153%90%+0.37
21/08/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
12/09/202618th12/137%15%-0.22