25
Korker
7yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 87
Ayr · Ladbrokes Ayr Silver Cup Handicap · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Haydock | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Chester | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Newcastle | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Chester | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newbury | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Haydock | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 2554% of fieldRange 12-25 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength23%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 25.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 08/11/2025 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 29/03/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 16/05/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 02/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |