15
Rapper's Delight
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 89
Ayr · Ladbrokes Ayr Silver Cup Handicap · 6f
#12
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#12
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Goodwood | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Goodwood | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Newmarket | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Southwell | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Newcastle | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Meydan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 2563% of fieldRange 9-21 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 25.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 09/01/2026 | 5th | 6/5 | 94% | 71% | -0.22 |
| 06/02/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.07 |
| 06/03/2026 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 38% | -0.43 |
| 27/06/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.14 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 28/07/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 68% | -0.03 |
| 30/08/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 22% | -0.20 |