Super Soldier
3yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 97
Ayr · Ladbrokes Ayr Silver Cup Handicap · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.1 /10 (raw 7.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Doncaster | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 21th | 19th | +2 |
| 2026-06-13 | York | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Doncaster | 1 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Ascot | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Kempton | 1 | 9th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 25. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/2025 | 14th | 80/1 | 0% | 32% | +0.32 |
| 20/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 31/07/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 06/09/2025 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 11% | -0.44 |
| 18/10/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 28/03/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 13/06/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 19/06/2026 | 21st | 250/1 | 0% | 5% | +0.05 |
| 12/09/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |