1
Angel In My Heart
2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 77
Ayr · Ladbrokes 'New Customers Get 50/1 Old Firm Offer' Firth Of Clyde (Fillies' Group 3) · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Doncaster | 2 | 2nd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Newcastle | 3 | 2nd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-17 | Pontefract | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-08 | Catterick | 5 | 4th | 9th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength71%
Delivery trend +13.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 10/09/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 90% | +0.85 |