IvyArcIvyArc
2

Angels Passing

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 87

Ayr · Ladbrokes 'New Customers Get 50/1 Old Firm Offer' Firth Of Clyde (Fillies' Group 3) · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark in a weak 3-runner maiden in June but struggled when tenth of 17 in a Group 2 at York 30 days ago. Likely to prove out of her depth once more.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength19%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ York 15/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 5f Gd 12615/0514 @ Hamilton 04/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR - · 6f6y Goo 1284/0641 @ York 20/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 17 · OR 87 · 6f GS 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 87 par20/081OR 87projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20York110th10th+0
2026-06-04Hamilton41st5th−3
2026-05-15York14th4th−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/054/0620/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength35%

Delivery trend -8.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20264th18/15%67%+0.61
04/06/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
20/08/202610th40/10%44%+0.44