9

Starburster

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 82

Ayr · Ladbrokes 'New Customers Get 50/1 Old Firm Offer' Firth Of Clyde (Fillies' Group 3) · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fourth on debut at Windsor in June before narrowly winning a maiden at Newbury 24 days ago. The form of her win has been strengthened by the second winning since but faces a big step up to Group 3 company here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Windsor 08/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f12y Goo 1288/0644 @ Newbury 26/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f GF 12826/084projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Newbury41st5th3
2026-06-08Windsor44th8th3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0626/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength97%

Delivery trend +22.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/06/20264th7/163%67%+0.04
26/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26