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16

Fine Interview

5yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 99

Ayr · Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) · 6f

#14

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Better than ever when successful on reappearance at Doncaster (6f, heavy) in March. Wasted no time getting back to his best when only beaten 1½ lengths in strong handicap at York last time. Closely matched with Far Above Dream/Dance In The Storm on that form and gets the nod from James Doyle here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Goodwood 08/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 91 · 6f Sft 136 · beat its mark08/06/2025 · OR 91 par8/063OR 913 @ Goodwood 30/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 20 · OR 90 · 7f Gd 133 · beat its mark30/07/2025 · OR 90 par3 @ Ascot 05/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 89 · 7f Sft 135 · beat its mark05/09/2025 · OR 89 par5/093OR 893 @ Pontefract 06/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 88 · 6f Sft 138 · beat its mark06/10/2025 · OR 88 par2 @ Doncaster 24/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 91 · 6f2y Sft 130 · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 91 par24/102OR 912 @ Doncaster 08/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 22 · OR 95 · 6f2y Hvy 131 · beat its mark08/11/2025 · OR 95 par3 @ Doncaster 29/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 19 · OR 94 · 6f2y GS 134 · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 94 par29/033OR 942 @ Epsom Downs 06/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 99 · 6f3y Sft 134 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 99 par2 @ York 22/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 20 · OR 99 · 6f Goo 133 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 99 par22/082OR 99projClass-projected finish: 13th of 25
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22York27th7th0
2026-06-06Epsom Downs213th13th0
2026-03-29Doncaster31st2nd−1
2025-11-08Doncaster29th9th0
2025-10-24Doncaster21st1st0
2025-10-06Pontefract31st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/066/1029/0322/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 2550% of fieldRange 1-25 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength37%

Delivery trend -0.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 13th of 25.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/06/20253rd6/594%60%-0.34
30/07/20255th20/10%79%+0.79
05/09/20253rd3/184%80%-0.04
06/10/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
24/10/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
08/11/20259th16/583%62%-0.21
29/03/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
06/06/202613th15/890%14%-0.76
22/08/20267th28/10%68%+0.68