Volterra
5yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 109
Ayr · Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Doncaster | 1 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-03-28 | Doncaster | 1 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Redcar | 1 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Newbury | 1 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-05-31 | Haydock | 1 | 3rd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 16th of 25. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2024 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 23/08/2024 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 93% | +0.38 |
| 05/10/2024 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 31/05/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 30/08/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 30% | -0.41 |
| 19/09/2025 | 2nd | 85/40 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 8/11 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 12/09/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |