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Amir Lehbab

2yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 82

Ayr · British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 50y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

99%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

200,000 gns No Nay Never colt who has made a promising start to his career, impressing with the way he went through the race when second of 7 at Doncaster (7f) in early July. Returns after a break and likely has more to offer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength8%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 11/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 6f110y GS 13311/0642 @ Doncaster 09/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 7f6y GF 1339/072projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Doncaster22nd2nd0
2026-06-11Newbury43rd5th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/069/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength59%

Delivery trend -31.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/06/20263rd11/142%75%+0.33
09/07/20262nd7/282%83%+0.02