8

Black Gin

2yo Filly · 9-2

Ayr · British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 50y

#7

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Mayson filly who looked clueless when down the field in 6f maiden at Ripon on recent debut. Up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ripon 31/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f GS 12831/084
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Ripon47th9th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength7%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/20267th50/10%14%+0.14