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9

Blakefell

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 79

Ayr · Jordan Electrics Handicap · 7f 50y

#6

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Didn't need to improve to get off the mark in 7f maiden at Musselburgh in May and has held his form well in handicaps subsequently, doing his best work late on when third in 7-runner event at Kempton (7f) latest. Will continue to give a good account.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Doncaster 11/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 21 · OR - · 6f111y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS11/0922 @ Newmarket 04/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 26 · OR - · 7f Goo 119 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Musselburgh 05/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 79 · 7f15y Sft 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 79 par5/112OR 794 @ Musselburgh 21/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 75 · 7f15y Gd 127 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Doncaster 05/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 76 · 7f6y GF 126 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 76 par5/064OR 765 @ Musselburgh 22/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 75 · 1m208y Gd 131 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Kempton 05/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 75 · 7f Sta 130 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 75 par5/084OR 754 @ Musselburgh 24/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 78 · 7f15y Gd 133 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Kempton 02/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 78 · 7f Sta 128 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 78 par2/094OR 78projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Kempton43rd3rd0
2026-08-24Musselburgh42nd2nd0
2026-08-05Kempton42nd2nd0
2026-06-22Musselburgh53rd4th−1
2026-06-05Doncaster46th6th0
2026-05-21Musselburgh41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0921/055/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength30%

Delivery trend -8.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/09/202510th150/10%55%+0.55
04/10/20259th25/10%68%+0.68
05/11/20252nd5/493%89%-0.05
21/05/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
05/06/20266th18/15%44%+0.39
22/06/20263rd11/486%60%-0.26
05/08/20262nd4/179%86%+0.07
24/08/20262nd9/488%89%+0.01
02/09/20263rd6/492%67%-0.25