10
Gweedore
9yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 75
Ayr · Jordan Electrics Handicap · 7f 50y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength58%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Musselburgh | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ayr | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | York | 3 | 16th | 15th | +1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Musselburgh | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Newbury | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Musselburgh | 2 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/10/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 05/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 04/04/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 17/04/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 13/06/2026 | 16th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 06/07/2026 | 15th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 07/08/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |