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Jannas Journey

5yo Mare · 9-9 · OR 79

Ayr · Jordan Electrics Handicap · 7f 50y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

61%

Place Prob

38%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Had a remarkable 2025, winning 7 from 8 starts over summer, including a division of this corresponding event. Back to winning ways at Carlisle (1m) in July and quickly shrugged off a lesser run at this course when good third at Hamilton (6f) last month and of interest returned to 7f.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Musselburgh 12/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 83 · 1m2y Gd 140 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 83 par12/044OR 832 @ Ascot 09/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 81 · 1m Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 81 par4 @ Ayr 20/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 79 · 1m GF 134 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 79 par20/054OR 793 @ Carlisle 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 77 · 6f195y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ York 12/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 20 · OR 77 · 7f Gd 132 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 77 par12/064OR 774 @ Carlisle 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 76 · 7f173y Goo 133 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 76 par4 @ Hamilton 16/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 79 · 1m68y Goo 135 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 79 par16/074OR 794 @ Ayr 08/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 79 · 1m Goo 129 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ Hamilton 21/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 78 · 6f6y GS 138 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 78 par21/084OR 78projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Hamilton43rd3rd0
2026-08-08Ayr49th9th0
2026-07-16Hamilton44th4th0
2026-07-04Carlisle41st1st0
2026-06-12York48th8th0
2026-05-30Carlisle34th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0430/0516/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 2-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%

Delivery trend -7.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/04/20269th28/10%20%+0.20
09/05/20267th20/10%25%+0.25
20/05/20268th12/137%30%-0.07
30/05/20264th18/15%63%+0.57
12/06/20268th7/163%63%0.00
04/07/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
16/07/20264th10/382%25%-0.57
08/08/20269th4/179%11%-0.68
21/08/20263rd15/261%80%+0.19