2
Son
5yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 78
Ayr · Jordan Electrics Handicap · 7f 50y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength48%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | York | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Beverley | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Carlisle | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | York | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | York | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Musselburgh | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength53%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 30/06/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 57% | -0.34 |
| 10/07/2026 | 13th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |