11
Viper
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 78
Ayr · Jordan Electrics Handicap · 7f 50y
#12
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Musselburgh | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Newcastle | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newcastle | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Pontefract | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Newcastle | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Doncaster | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 12-14 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 78% | +0.23 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/07/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 38% | -0.33 |
| 24/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |