9
Beau Cheval
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 79
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 1f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 89% | +0.31 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 70% | -0.17 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |