7
Bourboncentric
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 80
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength92%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 90% | +0.24 |