D C Boy's
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 70
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 1f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Fair Grounds | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-01-05 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2024-12-01 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2024-08-15 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2024-07-11 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2024 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 15/08/2024 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 01/12/2024 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 05/01/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 30/01/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |