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Emotionlyavailble

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 79

Belmont Park · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 1f

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

94%

Place Prob

67%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼3
Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 16/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS16/05C6C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 21/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 68 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 68 par21/06C6OR 68C6 @ Saratoga 07/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 75 par7/08C6OR 75projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-07Saratoga?7th4th+3
2026-06-21Belmont At The Big A?2nd-1th+3
2026-05-16Belmont At The Big A?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0521/067/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength79%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/20265th7/282%60%-0.22
21/06/20262nd9/276%83%+0.07
07/08/20267th13/266%45%-0.20