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3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 66
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 1f
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-03 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.36 |
| 08/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |