Uncle Barrie
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 65
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 1f
#7
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-04-16 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/03/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 19/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 16/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 03/06/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 17/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 100/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |