Zip For Rick
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 62
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 1f
#11
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-02-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-09-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 16/10/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 01/01/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 15/02/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |