7
Shades Of Jade
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 89
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -10.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 21/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 27/09/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 24/10/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 24/12/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 06/02/2026 | 6th | 6/5 | 94% | 29% | -0.65 |
| 14/03/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |