1
Attfield
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 98
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength81%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Keeneland | ? | 9th | 3rd | +5 |
| 2026-02-22 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-11-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-10-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | -3th | +5 |
| 2025-08-29 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -14.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 03/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 07/11/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/02/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 03/04/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |