3
Bridle A Butterfly
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 95
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Fair Grounds | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 04/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 06/09/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 16/02/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 16/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 24/04/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |