3

Go Irish

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 82

Belmont Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength38%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Saratoga 17/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 84 · 6f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/08/2025 · OR 84 par17/08C7OR 84C6 @ Monmouth Park 07/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 87 · 6f Slo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/09/2025 · OR 87 parC8 @ Belmont At The Big A 17/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 84 · 7f Fas 123 · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 84 par17/10C8OR 84C7 @ Aqueduct 22/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 89 · 6f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/11/2025 · OR 89 parC7 @ Aqueduct 21/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 88 · 6f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 88 par21/03C7OR 88C7 @ Aqueduct 17/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 83 · 6f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/04/2026 · OR 83 parC7 @ Belmont At The Big A 15/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 79 · 6f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 79 par15/05C7OR 79C8 @ Belmont At The Big A 12/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 81 · 7f 121 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 81 parC6 @ Monmouth Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 81 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 81 par29/08C6OR 81projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Monmouth Park?2nd0th+2
2026-06-12Belmont At The Big A?7th7th0
2026-05-15Belmont At The Big A?9th8th+1
2026-04-17Aqueduct?7th6th+1
2026-03-21Aqueduct?5th4th+1
2025-11-22Aqueduct?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0822/1115/0529/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength83%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/08/20255th12/137%33%-0.04
07/09/20259th5/174%20%-0.54
17/10/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
22/11/20255th25/10%33%+0.33
21/03/20265th8/158%20%-0.38
17/04/20267th12/137%14%-0.23
15/05/20269th25/10%11%+0.11
12/06/20267th9/153%14%-0.38
29/08/20262nd7/163%88%+0.24